Sideways dead cross at the Bollinger upper band, is it 'momentum accumulation for a breakout' or 'high-altitude crash'?
Dead cross trap or real drop signal? A dead cross has suddenly appeared on the current hourly chart, but the price is firmly holding the upper Bollinger band, this divergence suggests that the main force is playing psychological warfare! Sideways dollar fluctuations seem calm, but there are undercurrents—on-chain data shows that whale wallets are frantically accumulating near $3400 while retail investors are selling out of fear, accumulating ratio has plummeted to 27.57%.
Bollinger Band Secrets: Price is tightly hugging the upper band with no volume support, and the short-term moving average golden cross is dragged down by shrinking volume. Chan Lian's view: This is a typical 'choking oscillation,' either a sharp rise to wipe out short stops, or a crash to kill long leverage!
3575: Tonight is the battleground for bulls and bears, break and soar, collapse and fall off the cliff!
Chan Lian's statement: As long as the trading volume doubles upon breakthrough, tonight $3600 is not a dream!
Short nuclear bomb: If $3575 is not broken after prolonged attack, the crash script is already written.
Chan Lian Warning: If $3500 is lost with increased volume, bottom fishers will be left with corpses everywhere!
Tonight's Ultimate Simulation: Two massacre scenarios, how can retail investors survive?
Main force raid: Violently pulling up while retail investors are observing, after breaking 3575, directly approaching 3600, triggering short squeeze.
Target Position: 3650→3700.
Basis: On-chain whales have completed their layout at $3400, and a rise only needs a needle.
Main force conspiracy: False breakthrough at $3575 to lure longs, then reverse to smash the market, using dead cross momentum to breach $3500.
Target Position: 3427→3300.
Chan Lian's exclusive strategy: Licking blood at the knife's edge, either double or go to zero!
Radical:
Breakthrough to chase long: Enter at market price after stabilizing with volume at $3575, stop loss at $3540, target 3620→3650.
Crash and bottom fish: If it flashes down to 3427, reverse to long, stop loss at 3390, target 3550.
Conservative:
High-altitude Sniping: Enter short after being blocked at 3570, stop loss at 3605, target 3500→3450.
Lying Flat and Observing: Waiting for ETF approval or Federal Reserve rate cuts!
Suspense and Hidden Dangers: The main players' trump cards have been revealed, but there is one piece of data that keeps Chan Lian awake all night...
A mysterious on-chain fund is quietly accumulating $300 million in ETH put options, expiring this Friday! Is it a market support smokescreen or a countdown to massacre?
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