The market is like the tides of the ocean; low volatility periods seem calm, yet they hide turbulent whirlpools—smart investors are not waiting for the wind to come; they are preparing their sails before the waves rise.
Current situation of Bitcoin:
In simple terms, Bitcoin is currently stuck in a small box, fluctuating between 113600 and 115600, unable to break upward or downward. Technical indicators show that the moving averages are all tangled together, and volatility has shrunk to a thin line, confirming that the short-term trend is sideways. However, there is a dangerous signal: an 'evening star' pattern has appeared on the chart, and with trading volume shrinking like a dying phone battery, forming a 'divergence between volume and price'—meaning the price hasn't moved much, but no one is willing to buy or sell, indicating low market participation, which makes it prone to a sudden downward reversal. The good news is that technological innovation and capital inflow are supporting the market, offsetting some risks. Overall, Bitcoin seems to be gathering strength, but could change direction at any time.

Current situation of Ethereum:
Ethereum is a bit more complicated. From the 1-hour chart, it is oscillating in a range called 'B center.' On one hand, the moving average system shows a 'bullish arrangement' and a 'golden cross,' with the price above the moving averages, indicating strong momentum; but on the other hand, a 'evening star' bearish signal has appeared, and trading volume is extremely low—like a car flooring the accelerator but running out of gas; the upward momentum is weak, making it prone to false breakouts that lure people in. The key support is around 3480; if it breaks below, the trend could reverse.

My personal views and cases:
I believe that this low volatility oscillation period is actually the market's 'nap time.' It's not a bad thing; rather, it's a window of opportunity. Think about it, at the beginning of 2023, Bitcoin was also stuck in the $25,000-$28,000 range, and at that time, the technical indicators were tangled, and trading volume was shrinking. Everyone thought it was going to crash. But what happened? Institutional funds suddenly flooded in, and with favorable ETF news, the price surged by 30%. This tells me that low volatility periods are often when the main players are 'accumulating funds,' not fleeing. The current situation of Bitcoin and Ethereum is similar to that phase—though the 'evening star' is indeed frightening, positive news acts as a safety belt, and a pullback could actually be a 'golden pit.' In terms of operations, don’t chase the uptrend or panic sell; patiently wait for a pullback, just like fishing—only when the line is set right can you catch big fish.
Operational suggestions:
For Bitcoin: If the price falls to around 113800-114100, buy boldly, set a stop loss at 113000, and initially target 114600-115000. If it breaks 115600, add to your position and look for 116000; if it can't break above, then short it.
For Bitcoin: Buy on the pullback to around 3545, set a stop loss at 3500, and pay attention to the key support at 3480, targeting 3580-3600. If it breaks 3600, look at 3630-3650; if it can't get up, then short it.
In summary, the current market is like walking on a tightrope. Operate with light positions, don't be greedy, and take profits when you can.
History always repeats itself, but the protagonists are different—want to know how I used this method to double my investment against the trend during last year's Ethereum crash? #跟单必赚
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