๐ Key Indicators & Current Context
1. ๐ฐ Price & Trend:
Current Price: $3,557.98 ๐ (+3.10% in 24h) โ strong recovery momentum.
Bullish Alignment:
Trading above EMA(25) ($3,452.90) and EMA(99) ($2,866.92) โ ๐ medium/long-term bullish.
Testing EMA(7) resistance ($3,576.96) and 24h high ($3,576.07) โ breakout imminent โก
๐งจ Critical Development: Just 0.05% away from breaking key resistance!
2. ๐ Momentum & Volatility:
RSI(6): 46.06 โ neutral zone โ๏ธ (room for upside).
Stochastic RSI Bullish Crossover: 10.57 > MA 4.87 ๐ข
โ ๏ธ Volume Concern:
VOL (74.8K ETH) is 83% below MA(5) (433K) โ needs volume confirmation to validate breakout.
3. ๐ Support/Resistance Levels:
๐ Breakout Zone: $3,576โ$3,577 (EMA7 + 24h high)
๐ฏ Next Targets:
$3,689.51 โ $3,941 (2025 high) โ $4,014.34
๐ก๏ธ Strong Support:
$3,452.90 (EMA25), $3,433.98 (24h low), $3,364.69 (higher low / invalidation)
4. ๐ง Market Sentiment:
Ethereum benefits from "Layer 1" rotation ๐
24h Vol (302K ETH) = moderate, but โ ๏ธ still lacks strong conviction
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๐ ETH Price Prediction
โณ Short-Term (6โ12h):
๐จ Breakout Probability: 70%
If ETH closes above $3,577 โ target $3,620โ$3,650
โฑ๏ธ Medium-Term (24โ48h):
๐ Bullish: Daily close > $3,577 = opens way to $3,689โ$3,941 ๐ผ
๐ป Bearish: Rejection = pullback to $3,500โ$3,452
๐ฎ Long-Term Bias:
Bullish above $3,452 ๐ช
ETH/BTC recovery in play
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๐ Trade Plan
โ Scenario 1: EMA(7) Breakout (Optimal Setup)
๐ฏ Trigger: 15m close > $3,577 + ๐ volume > 250K ETH
๐ฅ Entry: $3,580โ$3,590
๐ฏ Targets:
TP1: $3,620 โ +1.1%
TP2: $3,689 โ +3.3%
TP3: $3,800
๐ Stop Loss: $3,550
๐ Confluence: Bullish EMAs + Ethereum strength
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๐ Scenario 2: Retest Play (High R/R)
๐ฏ Trigger: False breakout + RSI(6) < 40
๐ฅ Entry: $3,453โ$3,465
๐ฏ Targets:
TP1: $3,577 โ +3.2%
TP2: $3,689
๐ Stop Loss: $3,430
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๐งฎ Risk Management
๐ Max Risk: 2% capital per trade
๐ R:R = 1:4 on Scenario 2
โ Confirm with:
๐ Stoch RSI > 15
๐ Breakout volume > 300K ETH
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โ Conclusion
๐ Immediate Bias: Bullish โ breakout is likely
Key Levels:
๐ฅ Bullish Invalidation: Close < $3,452.90
๐ฉ Bearish Invalidation: Close > $3,689.51
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๐ก Optimal Action Plan
1. ๐ค Enter long at $3,578 on confirmed breakout (use 60% of position).
2. ๐ง Ride core position up to $3,689 unless breakout volume weakens.
3. ๐ก๏ธ After TP1, move SL to $3,540 (trail stop).
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๐ Monitor These
๐ Ethereum Spot ETF update (Aug 10 launch window)
๐ง Vitalik Buterin appearances (conference news)
โฝ Gas fee spikes (activity signal)
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๐ข Trade smart, manage risk, and follow Ethereumโs momentum closely!
๐ Follow for live updates!
TRADE FROM HERE ๐ $ETH
#ETH #Ethereum #ETHUSDT #ETH๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ #ETH่ตฐๅฟๅๆ
