August began with mixed signals: while Wall Street celebrates good results from AI companies like Nvidia and Microsoft, cryptocurrencies show some caution. $BTC hovers around USD 115,000 after touching USD 123,000 in July, and $ETH moves between USD 3,500–4,000, with potential for bullish breakout. The market expects a rate cut in the US, but factors such as technical overbought conditions, new tariffs, and capital outflows in emerging markets could lead to corrections in the short term. Flows into ETFs remain a key support pillar.
And what about the end of the year?
The second half of the year could be marked by greater volatility. If the Fed cuts rates in September and employment/inflation data stabilize, bitcoin could approach USD 140,000 before December. Ethereum could also break the USD 4,000 barrier if the market resumes its risk appetite. However, any macro surprises — recession, geopolitical tensions, or liquidity drops — could hinder that bullish projection.
✔️ Conclusion
August marks a turning point: if the Fed lowers rates and flows into ETFs remain steady, the market could close 2025 with strong bullish momentum. But volatility is still present, and any macroeconomic changes could dampen that momentum. Risk management and a medium-term outlook will be key.
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