#MarketRebound đ Why the Market Rebound Happened
1. Shock, SellâOff & Rapid Recovery
Stocks plunged sharply in early April (dubbed the 2025 crash) when sweeping tariffs were announced on AprilâŻ2, causing the S&PâŻ500 to drop by ~12% by AprilâŻ8. But after the administration paused those hikes, the market surgedâwith its largest singleâday gain in 17 yearsâand quickly regained ground .
By midâMay, the S&PâŻ500 had reclaimed its 2025 losses; by late June, it was at record highsânearly 6âŻ% above the preâcrash peak .
2. Economic Resilience & Positive Earnings
U.S. GDP rebounded to +3% annualized in Q2 after a contraction in Q1, easing recession fears .
Corporate earnings have been strong: over 80âŻ% of S&PâŻ500 companies beat expectations in Q2, supporting market momentum .
3. AI & Sector Leadership
Market gains are heavily concentrated in AIâdriven and tech stocksâMicrosoft, Meta, Nvidia, etc.âeven amid high interest rates .
Other sectors (industrials, utilities, financials) are also gaining breadth in 2025âa notable shift from the narrow leadership of prior years .
4. Fed Signal & Tariff Shift
The Federal Reserve, while cautious, signals the possibility of rate cuts starting in September, supported by slowing job growth and cooling inflationâmarkets have priced in about an 80% chance of a cut by then .
Trade tensions eased as some tariffs were paused or renegotiated, including a U.S.âChina 90âday truce, reducing market uncertainty .