🧠 Background of the Federal Reserve's recent decision.

Despite ongoing pressure from President Trump to lower interest rates, the Federal Reserve decided to keep the interest rate at 4.25%–4.5% in its last meeting on July 30. This decision came despite the fact that two members appointed by Trump voted in favor of the cut, which has not happened in over 30 years.

💥 Why was there no cut?

- Inflation remains high: The Consumer Price Index reached 2.7% in June, above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%.

- The economy shows no signs of sharp weakness: GDP growth was 3% in the second quarter, higher than expectations.

- The tariffs imposed by Trump have started to affect prices, making the Federal Reserve more cautious in its decisions.

💸 Impact of the decision on the dollar and markets

- The dollar received strong support after the interest rate was held steady, leading to a decline in stock and crypto markets.

- Investors were expecting a cut, so the decision came as a "shock," as you accurately noted.

- Markets are now in a state of anticipation, especially with the Jackson Hole meeting approaching at the end of August, where the Federal Reserve may provide new signals.

🔮 Is there a trick behind the scenes?

From an analytical perspective, it can be said that there is a psychological management of the market: pumping positive signals, then holding interest rates steady, creating a state of volatility and uncertainty. This approach may be intentional to absorb political pressures.