Current situation (August 3, 2025):
- Price: ~0.35–0.36 USD (based on data from CoinMarketCap, Binance, @cexscan).
- Context: BB is the native token of BounceBit, a CeDeFi platform (centralized and decentralized finance) launched in 2024 on its own L1 blockchain. BounceBit focuses on re-staking BTC (BBTC), tokenizing RWA (xRWA), and simplifying yield through BounceBit Easy (fixed income, delta-neutral arbitrage). Market capitalization: ~147–150 million USD (rank ~350–400). Trading volume: ~25–119 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~409.5 million BB, max: 2.1 billion. The price has fallen ~60% from ATH (0.90 USD, May 2024) but has increased ~7.4% over 24h (@binance). TVL: ~300–400 million USD. Positive sentiment on X is related to the listing on Coinbase INTX, Binance, and roadmap (@Coinmatik1, @bounce_bit).
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 0.61–1.66 USD (growth of 70–370%) in a bull market, with the rise of BTC and DeFi.
- Neutral: 0.37–0.83 USD (growth of 5–130%).
- Pessimistic: 0.11–0.21 USD during corrections or regulatory constraints.
- Levels:
- Support: 0.30–0.34 USD, 0.10–0.15 USD.
- Resistance: 0.41–0.53 USD, 0.73–0.88 USD.
- Trend: Bullish. The daily chart shows an upward trend (RSI ~50–60, 50 MA above 200 MA, breakout of the symmetrical triangle). The 4-hour RSI ~78 indicates overbought conditions, a short-term correction may be possible. A breakout at 0.53 USD could raise the price to 0.73–0.88 USD, while a drop below 0.34 USD would target 0.15 USD. CoinCodex forecasts $0.16 USD, CoinDataFlow — $0.61 USD, and Coincu — up to $1.66 USD by 2026.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Ecosystem: BounceBit integrates CeFi and DeFi, offering re-staking of BTC (BBTC), tokenization of assets (Apple, Tesla through xRWA), and BounceBit Easy (fixed income). TVL has grown to ~$400 million, with 3 million+ transactions.
- Partnerships: Binance (Launchpool, HODLer Airdrop), Coinbase INTX, Bybit, OKX, Gate.io, MEXC, KuCoin, Chainlink. Investments from Binance Labs, OKX Ventures. Listing on Coinbase INTX increased interest (@Coinmatik1).
- Tokenomics: 51% of tokens for the ecosystem, 12% for airdrops, staking (APR ~3–7%), burning fees. Low circulating supply (19.5%).
- Community: Positive on X (@SAFIN_CRYPTo3, @bounce_bit), expectations for growth to $0.50–1.66 (@binance). Roadmap includes new products for BTC and RWA (@bounce_bit).
- BTC Halving (2024): supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- CeDeFi market: Growing interest in BTC re-staking and RWA tokenization (CAGR ~30% by 2030).
- Risks:
- Regulation: The SEC may classify BB as a security.
- Volatility: low market cap (~150 million USD) is vulnerable to whales.
- Competition: Solayer, Lista DAO, Virtuals Protocol in re-staking/DeFi.
- Unlocks: ~50 million USD in 2025 may pressure the price.
- Pessimism: WalletInvestor forecasts a drop to $0.11–0.12 USD by 2026, contradicting the current momentum.
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on corrections to 0.30–0.34 USD, stop below 0.15 USD. Target: 0.73–1.50 USD. Staking (APR ~3–7%) for income.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at 0.53 USD, target 0.73–0.88 USD. Sell below 0.34 USD, target 0.15–0.20 USD.
- Risk: 0.5–1% of deposit due to high volatility, regulatory risks, and unlocks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulations, decline in interest in CeDeFi/RWA, drop in BTC/ETH. #BB #Binance $BB