📌 Current technical summary
TradingView rating shows a neutral trend on the daily frame, while the 1-week and 1-month frames indicate a buy signal.
TipRanks determines that BTC is a buy based on:
Strong MACD (1867.8),
RSI at about 57.8 (Neutral), -EMA against price: 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day all provide buy signals, but the 10-day average gives a sell signal.
📊 Support and resistance levels
Nearby resistance: 118,000 – 120,000 USD; breaking it may contribute to a pull towards the upper 120 thousands.
The strongest resistance areas: between 125,000 – 133,000 USD, with a possibility of reaching 133,300 USD by the end of August if the upper resistance is surpassed.
🔄 Accumulation Zones
Analysts believe that the range of 110,000 – 112,000 USD represents a strategic and good support area for buying if the price experiences corrections towards it.
Long-term EMA levels (100- and 200-day) around 107-112 thousand dollars support the hypothesis of the same area as a support zone.
📈 Potential performance scenarios
Moderate rise: If the price maintains support above, a rise of 5–7% is expected to reach 125,000–127,000 USD by the end of August.
Strong breakout: The price could reach 133,300 USD in the case of strong positive momentum from institutions and the temporary ability to surpass resistance.
Potential drop: In case of selling pressure or negative volatility from regulatory/sentiment frameworks, the price may test a support level at 113,000–115,000 USD or drop close to the 110,000 USD range.
🌐 Supporting factors and risks
Institutional adoption and increased ETF flows are driving positive daily momentum, especially in light of encouraging regulatory updates in the United States.
Expectations of price rising to 200,000 – 225,000 USD or more by the end of 2025 if institutional and economic trends continue.
Possible risks such as legislative shifts, interest rate volatility, or sudden liquidation of long-term positions.
🧾 Summary of technical analysis
Impact Current state Short-term technical outlook Medium to long-term outlook
Direction Neutral (Daily), Buy (Week – Month) Accumulation opportunity at support Probability of rising to 125K+ if resistance is surpassed
RSI Around 58 — Neutral Does not indicate overbought conditions
MACD / Other indicators Speculative techniques like MACD and CCI support a buy signal Technical support with wider moving averages
Resistance 120K Potential rebound if surpassed Subsequent higher targets at 125–133K
Support 113K Good area for consolidation Buying target at 110–112K
✅ Technical recommendation for investors and traders
For traders: closely monitor support at 113-115K, and consider entries in the range of 110-112K for buying with a clear stop loss if support breaks.
For institutional or long-term investors: the positive regulatory environment and ETF flows support the continuation of the uptrend to levels that may exceed 150K in the remaining part of 2025.