At the lowest point of the bear market in 2020, I only had 50,000 U left in my account. At that time, I didn't understand candlestick patterns, just firmly remembered one phrase: 'Hold on when the trend is up, add positions when the pullback is small'— this became the technical starting point for my comeback from retail investor to success.
One, rolling from 50,000 to 8 million: technical compounding of two paths.
1. The 'trend filtering technique' of tenfold coins.
At the beginning of 2021, I discovered SOL stabilized at $2 on the 20-day line, with a pullback not exceeding 5% for 10 consecutive days (in line with 'more ups, less pullbacks'). Used 30,000 U to build positions, following technical rules: as long as the closing price does not break the 5-day line, hold on.
When it rose to $10, the MACD red column did not shrink, added positions of 10,000 U;
At $30, the first significant pullback occurred (down 15%), but the 20-day line was still upward, remaining 10,000 U to add positions;
Ultimately cleared positions at $120 during a top divergence, turning 30,000 U into 2.8 million U.
2. The 'small bet big' iron rule of contracts.
In the same year, used 20,000 U to do ETH contracts, strictly following 'trend + adding positions with floating profit':
At $1800, the weekly MACD broke the zero line, opened a 20x leveraged long position (margin 1000 U);
Rising to $2500 and pulling back to $2200 (not breaking the 10-day line), using profits to add positions to 2000 U margin;
When at $3800, volume expanded by 3 times, then added positions to 3000 U— ultimately took profit at $4200, turning 20,000 U into 5.2 million U.
Two paths totaling 8 million U, the core is not luck, but understanding 'trend continuity': SOL has small pullbacks so I dare to hold, ETH has a strong trend so I dare to leverage.
Two, the core of technical analysis: four sentences to grasp the essence of trends.
The saying 'trend law' by Lu Xun has been deconstructed by me into operable technical indicators:
Confirmation of upward trend: 5-day line above the 10-day line, and each pullback low point higher than the previous low (like BTC in 2023 from 30,000 to 48,000);
Confirmation of downward trend: 5-day line death cross 10-day line, rebound high point lower than previous high (like LUNA in 2022 from $110 to zero);
Strong trend signal: volume expands when rising, shrinks when falling (SOL's pullback on reduced volume indicates low selling pressure);
Reversal warning: after a significant rise suddenly breaks through the 20-day line (like ETH breaking the 20-day line at $4800, decisively taking profits).
These four sentences replaced complex indicators, allowing me to avoid 90% of ineffective trades.
Three, living by trading: control is the ultimate technique.
Running 5 kilometers every day, refusing to stay up late watching the market, these seemingly unrelated habits are actually training 'trend-level patience':
In the bear market of 2022, maintained a cash position for 45 consecutive days—relying on the discipline of 'never reaching out unless a 20-day line golden cross appears', avoiding 3 fake rebounds;
In 2023, missed a certain MEME coin's 3x rally, but by adhering to 'only trading coins above the 20-day line', avoided subsequent zeroing out;
Now, even with fluctuations of a million U in my account, I remain calm, just like the breathlessness when running 3 kilometers; enduring it leads to habitual profits.
Livermore said 'sit still', in my view: if the trend hasn't broken, hold tight, if no signal has appeared, stay in cash. This kind of control is more useful than any indicator.
Finally realized: trading is a 'counter-instinctual practice'.
From 50,000 to 8 million, the deepest understanding is: technology is a tool, character is the core. Those kilometers stubbornly endured while running, those nights watching others chase prices but staying put, ultimately turned into numbers in my account.
Now every day I start by looking at the four trend sentences, and at the end of the day review whether I adhered to the rules. Living by trading is not about the thrill of huge profits, but like an old craftsman honing their skills—taming desire with control, filtering noise with technology, ultimately finding a rhythm in the candlesticks that matches my character.
Every penny in your account is the manifestation of your understanding of the trend.
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