#MarketPullback

🔻 Crypto Enters Typical August Pullback

Crypto markets are cooling down as August begins—historically one of Bitcoin’s weakest months, with an average decline of ~8% this time of year Indiatimes+7Binance+7Binance+7. Following July highs, the market is undergoing a classic seasonal retracement rather than a major crash Binance.

📉 Bitcoin Hits a 3‑Week Low

Bitcoin has slipped to around $114K, dropping nearly 2.2% in the last day and hitting a three-week low amid profit-taking after record highs near $123K Bloomberg+1Barron's+1. Market cap has declined roughly 7.3% to about $3.83 trillion, with all top‑100 coins turning red cryptonews.com.

🔍 Institutional Risk‑Off Sentiment

Investors are moving out of crypto as broader equity markets wobble over trade uncertainties and mixed jobs data Investopedia+1cryptonews.com+1. U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw outflows (~$115 million), although Ether inflows remain steady—a sign of rotation toward relative safety within crypto cryptonews.com.

🧭 Technical & Market Structure Signals

Altcoins continue underperforming Ethereum, indicating a shift toward perceived safer crypto assets BinanceBinance.

Analysts emphasize this pullback is under the 10% threshold—typical for retracements—and could be a healthy consolidation phase if support holds Binance.

📈 Bull vs Bear Outlook

There's an estimated 30% chance Bitcoin slides toward $100K by end‑September, while a 46% chance it reaches $150K by year‑end cryptonews.com.

Ether’s momentum still looks strong: its price has climbed ~43% in the past month and analysts predict continued upside toward ~$4,800 assuming regulatory tailwinds persist marketwatch.com.

✅ TL;DR Table

IndicatorStatus / ImplicationMonthly TrendAugust historically weak for crypto (~–8%)BTC PriceDown to $114‑115K, pulling back after July highsAltcoinsUnderperforming ETH, signaling risk-off rotationRisk SentimentInstitutions pulling back; BTC ETF outflows ongoingOutlook Probability30% to $100K; 46% to $150K by year endETH PotentialMomentum remains; BTC alternative.