Although the rolling warehouse method can help you achieve stable compound interest, you should not use it recklessly!

Many people get eager when they hear about rolling warehouses, wanting to jump in immediately, but most end up suffering greatly, not because they can't roll, but because they can't distinguish whether this is a trend or a fluctuation.

Remember this saying: Rolling warehouses are only suitable for trending markets; trying to roll in a fluctuating market is just giving away money!

So how do you determine whether the current market is fluctuating?

1. Prices are moving slowly, and the volume can't keep up.

The most intuitive characteristic: prices rise for one day, fall the next, and move sideways for three days.

It's like BTC hovering between 60,000 and 63,000, and ETH fluctuating around 3,200, bouncing back and forth over three days.

Looking at the volume, if the candlestick is moving but the trading volume is sluggish, it's a "false move"—the main force hasn't entered the market, retail investors are just playing against each other without any significant action.

At this time, if you rush in to open a position and roll, not only will you not be able to roll, but you might also get slapped in the face repeatedly.

2. Indicators frequently cross and uncross, lacking directional sense.

Another typical characteristic of a fluctuating market is that technical indicators become ineffective.

MACD, RSI, and moving averages are all in conflict.

MACD just crossed and immediately uncrossed;

Moving averages are tightly intertwined, going nowhere;

RSI jumps back and forth around 50, showing neither strength nor weakness.

At this time, what looks like a signal for takeoff is actually the main force fishing, waiting for you to jump in so they can cut you and leave.

3. No external catalysts, and emotions are cold.

You will find that the hot spots rotate quickly, funds are scattered, and there are no sustained explosive points.

Without significant news, without large players continuously building positions, and without on-chain data support, an increase in this context is highly unreliable.

The premise for rolling warehouses is: "Large funds are positioning, and the trend is about to unfold"—without a catalyst, there is no trend, so don’t fantasize about the market yourself.

So how do you determine that "fluctuation is about to end" and you can prepare to roll?

Prices start to approach key resistance levels on the daily/weekly charts, and the candlestick converges into a wedge;

Trading volume gradually increases, showing obvious expansion in bullish candlesticks;

News begins to show consistent expectations (such as nearing halving, large players entering, etc.);

On-chain data shows an increase in net fund inflow.

Only if two to three of the above conditions are met can you start rolling.

In a fluctuating market, what you should do the most is not add positions, but wait. When the market is quiet, learning to stop is what qualifies you to profit when real opportunities arise.

What you lack is not effort or opportunity, but someone who can help you achieve stable profits in this market.