The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in September is 38.2%. Do you think there will be a rate cut in September?
CME FedWatch: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 61.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 38.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 39.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 46.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 13.9%.
I feel that the possibility of a rate cut in October is greater, and Trump is also anxious!