Current price: $3,864.30 (+1.21%)
1. Main technical signal
EMA(7): $3,791.91 – Short-term support
EMA(25): $3,452.62 – Medium-term uptrend
EMA(99): $2,818.22 – Long-term trend remains strong
RSI(6): 75.58 – Overbought area, high reversal risk
Stoch RSI: Bullish divergence – Potential recovery momentum
Trading volume: Currently 78% below 5-day average → Weak uptrend
2. Market structure
Resistance: $3,868 (24h high), $3,941–$3,971 (main breakout zone)
Support: $3,791 (EMA7), $3,677, danger zone if this level is lost
3. Price scenario
Short term (1–3 days):
Adjust to the $3,791 area if $3,868 is not broken
If it exceeds $3,868 with >400K ETH volume → target $3,971
Medium term (1 week):
Hold above $3,791 → Move towards $4,000
Lose $3,677 → Retrace to $3,452 (EMA25)
Trading plan
🟧 Conservative Strategy – Sell overbought zone
Entry: $3,860–$3,868
Stop-loss: $3,880
Target: $3,791 → $3,750
R/R ratio: ~1:3
🔺 Aggressive Strategy – Trade breakout or reversal
Bullish breakout:
Entry: close > $3,868 + strong volume
SL: $3,830 | TP: $3,941 → $3,971
Bearish reversal:
Entry when RSI < 70
SL: $3,850 | TP: $3,791 → $3,677
⚠️ Market warning
RSI = 75.58 – historical high → short-term correction probability increases (~80%)
Weak volume → risk of false breakout
Pivot EMA(7): $3,791 is the bull/bear threshold
✅ Trade summary
Sell zone: $3,860–$3,868 (SL $3,880)
Only buy when breakout is confirmed above $3,868 with volume >400K ETH
Target drop: $3,791 → $3,750 → $3,677
High probability reversal setup
Not investment advice. Trade at your own risk.