Tonight's Four-In-A-Row! A data storm is coming, and the crypto world is about to witness the ultimate showdown of 'Heaven or Hell'!
Tonight, uncertainty reaches its peak! If you still don't know the meaning of these data sets, you may be standing in the eye of the storm, completely unprepared:
Initial Jobless Claims in the U.S. for the week ending July 26
The hot and cold labor market determines the monetary direction of the Federal Reserve; the more jobless claims, the stronger the market's expectation for interest rate cuts!
U.S. Core PCE Price Index Year-on-Year for June
This is the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve cares about the most! Higher than expected? Interest rate cuts are delayed, bearish for BTC; lower than expected? Risk assets soar!
U.S. Personal Spending Month-on-Month for June
Directly reflects consumer confidence; tonight will reveal if it's stagflation or recovery!
U.S. Q2 Labor Cost Index Quarter-on-Quarter
Rising costs increase inflationary pressure, affecting the Fed's decision-making logic, pulling everything along with it!
Market Interpretation:
Currently, BTC and ETH are consolidating at high levels, with the main forces holding back, but once this data is released, it could trigger a directional explosion!
Scenario One: Comprehensive Bullish Outcome
U.S. stocks rebound, the dollar weakens, BTC surges to fill the gap above, altcoins take off in sync, and the FOMO effect returns!
Scenario Two: Stubborn Inflation + Strong Labor Market
Expectations for interest rate cuts are delayed again, the dollar index rises, and the crypto market faces a deep correction; light positions survive, while heavy positions... you know what I mean.
Operational Advice: Prioritize risk control, hold light positions to respond to data volatility, and react quickly; set up both long and short orders in advance. Remember: tonight, don’t bet on direction, bet on rhythm!
Don’t say I didn’t warn you; tonight’s volatility could very well determine your profit and loss for this month!
