The current price as of the submission deadline is approximately $177 USDT, consolidating at this week's high ⚖️

1️⃣ Multi-period feeling 🔍

12 hours: bearish consolidation, likely to pull back to 175 (60% probability)

24 hours: mild fluctuation, target 180‑185 (↑60%)

3 days: moderate rise, look at 190‑195 (↑65%)

7 days: challenge previous high of 200‑210 (↑60%)

30 days: medium-term upward, aiming for 230‑260 (↑55%)

Chart reading tip: short-term bear 🐻 → medium-term bull 🐂, the rhythm is 'wash first, then rise'.

🧩How is this pushed?🧩

⚙️ Technical breakdown

4H chart: price hit a new high on 7/21‑23 but MACD did not follow, dead cross + green bar expansion → mid-term momentum depletion; if subsequent green bars shorten + golden cross, a pullback end signal will flash.

SAR: 7/25 first flipped above the K line, around 184, with bears temporarily in control; to turn bullish, the price needs to return below the SAR.

Trend framework: low points 156→165→170 progressively rising, the mid-term bullish framework remains intact.

🐳 On-chain & funds

Whales: 4 major wallets withdrew 230,000 SOL (≈ $23 million) from exchanges starting on 7/28, transferring to cold wallets for 'locking in'.

Derivatives: perpetual contract long-short ratio 4.35, fee rate mildly positive → bullish dominance but no leverage bubble.

Emotion: funding rates are positive but not high, social activity is rational, it is a 'charging period' rather than a 'FOMO top'.

🎯Key battle position 🎯

Support: 175 → 165‑170 → 156 → 140 → 120

Resistance: 185‑190 → 200 → 205 → 220 → 260

Personal three-stage strategy (leverage ≤ 5×, for demonstration only ⚠️)

🏂 Short-term 1‑3 days: buy on dips

30% near 175 → 40% at 170 → fill up at 165 → target 185, stop loss at 160.

🛡️ Medium-term 3‑7 days: chase breakthroughs

Break above 190 first 30% → break 200 add 40% → 210 pullback stabilizes to complete → target 230+, stop loss moves up with price (initially set at 180).

🏰 Swing 1 month+: pyramid accumulation

Start at 165 → add at 150 → bottom-fish at 130 → target 220‑250, if it falls below 120, cut losses to survive.

Position mantra: 30% ➡ 40% ➡ 30% + dynamic stop-loss line, never go all in.

📝Risk control memo 📝

Only increase positions when volume-price + SAR resonate; otherwise, it’s better to wait and see.

When OI surges + fee rates spike, beware of waterfalls; similarly, be cautious of shorts when overbought.

Pay attention to macro black swans (regulation, US dollar interest rates). Breaking below 140 = bullish scenario invalidated.

—— What are your thoughts on this round of SOL fluctuations? Let's discuss in the comments 👇

📱🔥【Daily sharing of the latest market analysis, the above content is personal research sharing and does not constitute investment advice; please operate cautiously based on your own risk tolerance. Trading fee discount code: 950472836】