Tonight at 10 PM! Will the Federal Reserve's "nuclear-level" decision explode the crypto market? ADP data hides signals of a crash!
Attention, crypto brothers! Today the global financial market will迎来 "Super Wednesday," with the top ten nuclear-level data led by the Federal Reserve about to bombard the market, and Bitcoin may stage a rollercoaster ride tonight!
At 8:15 PM Beijing time, the U.S. July ADP employment data will make its debut. This indicator, known as "little non-farm," previously revealed a shocking surprise last month—an actual value of 150,000 far below the expected 185,000, directly leading to an 800-point drop in Bitcoin within half an hour! More critically tonight, this data will directly influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision announced at 10 PM. According to the latest news from Wall Street, if the ADP data is weak again, Powell may signal a clear "rate cut in September!"
But the real climax comes at 2 AM the next day! The Federal Reserve will announce the latest interest rate decision, followed by a press conference by Powell. Remember this time: when he says the four words "inflation is controllable," Bitcoin may skyrocket; but if he emphasizes "economic resilience," beware of a collective liquidation of bullish positions! Last week, CME data showed that the probability of a rate cut in September has soared to 85%, but institutions are quietly positioning for a short, as this chart shows a mysterious address just borrowed 2,000 BTC!
Even more dangerous is the U.S. second-quarter GDP data at 8:30 PM tonight. If the actual value falls below the expected 1.8%, it will validate the "technical recession" argument, and traditional funds may withdraw from the U.S. stock market and flood into the crypto market. But pay attention to this detail: the core PCE price index annualized quarterly rate preliminary value will be released simultaneously, this inflation indicator most closely watched by the Federal Reserve caused Bitcoin to flash crash 12% last month due to soaring service prices!
Now do three things immediately:
After the 9:45 PM Canadian Central Bank interest rate decision, predict the impact of the USD on the CAD-USD interest rate differential in the comment section.
At 10:30 PM, when EIA crude oil inventory data is released, take a screenshot of your OKX/Binance position.
At 2:30 AM, when Powell speaks, click on my avatar for real-time updates!
The wind is about to rise, how can retail investors seize the opportunity? Follow the judge to catch the next wave.
