A $9 billion projection at stake for the Lightning Network

In a recent intervention, Graham Krizek put forward a striking estimate. The Lightning Network could represent up to 5% of global stablecoin trading volumes by 2028. Compared to the current daily volume of stablecoins, which amounts to around $180 billion, this share would represent more than $9 billion per year.

This figure underlines a clear ambition: to make the Lightning Network a stable and large-scale payment channel, well beyond its historical uses. Today, the reality is quite different. The use of stablecoins on Lightning is still almost zero. However, Krizek emphasizes one point.

This paradigm shift could emerge as early as the second half of 2025, a period from which several major technical integrations are expected. These transformations would pave the way for gradual adoption, both by individual users and by more institutional payment platforms.

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