$ETH encounters the "black swan" of policy, amidst volatile surges and declines, please keep this operational advice!

Last night, Fed’s Waller launched a "hawkish raid," hinting at a rate hike in September, U.S. Treasury yields soared to 5.2%, and ETH plummeted from $3682 to $3526, a drop of 3.9%. Trump imposed copper tariffs on Indonesia, causing panic in the market, but later Indonesia promised to purchase $24.5 billion worth of U.S. goods, leading ETH to violently rebound to $3620, an increase of 2.3%. The significant uncertainty in macro policy has led to substantial fluctuations in ETH prices.

Institutions are the main players in ETH speculation. Abraxas Capital bought 18,000 ETH around $3550, accumulating 210,000 in July at an average price of $3450, signaling "market support." In the options market, 30,000 contracts of 3500/6000 call spread options bet on ETH rising to $6000 before December, while 22,000 contracts of 3200 put options hedge, indicating significant institutional disagreement, causing ETH price volatility.

Operational advice: If ETH dips to around $3630, it can be bought for a long position, targeting around $3700. If it breaks through $3700, it can target around $3780, and stop-loss should also be set well!

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