In July 2025, Dogecoin (DOGE) once again became the focus of the cryptocurrency market. In just one week, the price of DOGE skyrocketed by 28%, breaking through $0.27, and its market cap returned to the $40 billion club, firmly within the top ten. This time, the rise of DOGE is not just a short-term hype driven by 'Musk's shout-out', but a strong comeback driven by institutional funds, technical patterns, ETF expectations, and the four-year cyclical law.
This article will deeply analyze:
✅ Institutions are buying in aggressively, with $50 million in mysterious funds entering the market!
✅ Technical chart shows 'Golden Death Cross', signaling a repeat of the 2021 bull market eve!
✅ SEC confidential documents leaked, the probability of DOGE ETF approval skyrockets to 85%!
✅ Four-year cycle prediction: September 2025 could be a historic turning point for DOGE!
💣 [Nuclear Explosion Signal 1] Mysterious giant whale swept up 500 million DOGE! Integration rumors of X payments ignite the market
🐋 Institutional funds are entering the market in droves, Bit Origin spends $500 million to build its position
On July 18, Nasdaq-listed company Bit Origin announced it would allocate $500 million as DOGE reserve assets and has already purchased over 40 million DOGE (average price $0.24). This news directly propelled DOGE to rise 8% in a single day, reaching a six-month high.
Even more shocking, on-chain data shows that an anonymous address swept up 500 million DOGE (worth $130 million) in just three days, with the transfer path directly pointing to Musk's X platform (formerly Twitter). Coincidentally, the X payment license has just been approved, and Musk has hinted multiple times: 'DOGE is the most suitable currency for the internet.' The market speculates that DOGE may become the official payment token of the X ecosystem. Once the news is confirmed, the price could hit a historical high!
📊 On-chain data verification: Whales are hoarding, retail investors are following suit
- Exchange DOGE reserves drop by 40%: Whales are withdrawing large amounts to cold wallets, indicating long-term holding intentions.
- 114 million DOGE absorbed by whale addresses: In the past week, large holders increased their positions by 18%, while retail trading volume decreased.
👉 Key conclusion: The entry of institutions and whales marks DOGE's transformation from a 'retail toy' to an 'institutional asset'!
📈 [Nuclear Explosion Signal 2] Technical chart shows 'Golden Death Cross', target price $1.2?
🎯 Key pattern breakthrough: ABCD harmonic + symmetrical triangle
- ABCD harmonic pattern completed: DOGE has broken through the key level of $0.2492, with a short-term target of $0.2726 (+9%) and mid-term challenge of $0.33-$0.40.
- Symmetrical triangle breakout: If DOGE holds above $0.41, the theoretical increase could reach 380%, target $1.
- 'Cup and Handle' pattern confirmed: This pattern has a historical success rate of 80%, target price $0.70 (2021 peak).
📉 Indicator signal: MACD golden cross + RSI overbought
- Monthly MACD golden cross: The last occurrence was before the 2021 bull market, with an average subsequent increase of 800%.
- RSI breaks 70: Indicates short-term overbought, but if it continues to consolidate at high levels, it may signal a continuation of the strong trend.
⚠️ Risk warning: RSI overbought may trigger a pullback, key support level at $0.25, if broken, it may retrace to $0.22.
💼 [Nuclear Explosion Signal 3] SEC confidential documents leaked! DOGE ETF may be approved in September
🏦 Goldman Sachs and Grayscale hold secret meetings with the SEC, ETF enters the final review stage
According to insiders on Wall Street, the SEC has secretly met with institutions like Goldman Sachs and Grayscale to discuss DOGE ETF custody solutions. Polymarket forecasts show that the probability of DOGE ETF approval has soared to 85%, far exceeding market expectations.
💰 Impact of ETF approval
- Short-term target price $0.40: Institutional funds pouring in may push DOGE into the $0.30-$0.40 range.
- Long-term market cap impact on top five: If ETF fund size matches 10% of Bitcoin ETF, DOGE's market cap could surpass ADA and SOL.
👉 Key time point: The SEC's final decision will be announced in September 2025.
🔮 [Nuclear Explosion Signal 4] Four-year cycle prediction: September 2025 = DOGE historical turning point?
⏳ Historical pattern: An epic bull market every four years
- 2017: DOGE surged from $0.0002 to $0.018 (an increase of 8900%).
- 2021: DOGE soared from $0.05 to $0.73 (an increase of 1360%).
- 2025? Analysts predict DOGE may replicate the previous two cycles, target $1-$3.
📅 Key time window: September 2025
- One year after Bitcoin halving: Historically, DOGE has exploded 12-18 months after each BTC halving.
- Four-year cycle bottom breakout: DOGE has been consolidating for 3 years, ready to take off.
👉 Key conclusion: If history repeats itself, September 2025 could be DOGE's 'moon launch window'!
⚠️ [Risk Alert] Short positions liquidated for $280 million, but short-term pullback risk increases!
- Contract fee rate breaks 0.1%: Long leverage is too high, beware of exchanges 'spiking' liquidation.
- Long-term holders (LTH) start selling: On-chain data shows some whales are taking profits.
- Sudden negative news from the SEC: If the ETF is rejected, DOGE may plummet to $0.15.
🎯 [Get Rich Strategy] How to seize this market wave?
Aggressive: Breakout buy, target $1
- Entry point: Buy after breaking $0.30, stop loss at $0.25.
- Target price: Short-term $0.40, mid-term $1.
🛡️ Conservative: Dollar cost averaging + long-term holding
- Dollar cost averaging range: $0.20-$0.25.
- Holding target: ETF implementation + integration of X payments.
🔥 [Ultimate Prediction] How high can DOGE go by the end of 2025?
- Conservative: $0.5 (if ETF is approved).
- Crazy prediction: $3 (four-year cycle + Musk's promotion).
- Crash prediction: $0.1 (SEC turns hostile + macro crash).
📢 Interactive topic: Which side are you on? Quick comments! Repost! Otherwise, don’t blame me for not reminding you about getting rich!