【Action Title】
🔥 XRP High-Level Fluctuation! $3.5 Life-and-Death Line: Follow the Institution for a Pullback Entry or Flash Crash to Take Profit?
【One-Sentence Overview】
Price closely adheres to POC 3.514, with 70% of chips accumulated in the 2.27-3.60 range; selling orders exceed 148,000, with a 24h contract OI slightly down by 0.01%, and a net capital outflow of 27.9M. In the short term, if it breaks down with volume below 3.46 LVN, it will quickly pull back to 3.30 HVN; conversely, if it stabilizes above 3.54 HVN, it can surge to 3.62. Stop-loss must be set below 3.44, with a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.2.
【Range Structure】
• Value Anchor: POC 3.514 (798M traded)
• High Volume Buffer: 3.46-3.54 HVN, 3.42-3.44 HVN, price is likely to fluctuate here
• Low Volume Void: Below 3.46 LVN 3.103-3.121 (only 49-56M traded), breaking this will accelerate
• 70% Coverage Area: 2.27-3.60, currently at the upper edge, not overbought but space is limited
【Momentum Verification】
• Near POC Up/Down=51.9/48.1, balanced long and short
• 3.46-3.54 HVN Up Vol > 60%, slight bullish advantage
• 4h level trading volume decreasing, breakout requires volume ≥ 1.5 times the average
【Auxiliary Signals】
• Bollinger Bands: Price at the middle band 51%, upper band 3.568, lower band 3.463, converging
• MA200: 3.312, deviation +6.2%, still bullish in the medium term
• Contract OI: 1h down 0.05%, no new leverage, main force observing
【Order Book Anomalies】
• Sell Wall: 20.85 million at 4.0, 10.05 million at 3.9, long-term pressure
• Buy Wall: A total of 250,000 at 3.5-3.503 in three layers, short-term support
【Market Cycle】
High-level fluctuation consolidation in a medium-term bull market, waiting for directional choice.
【Strategy】
Aggressive: Enter long on a long lower shadow/engulfing pattern + volume > 1.5 times at 3.46 LVN, stop-loss 3.438 (-0.6%), target 3.54/3.62, risk-reward ratio 2.2
Conservative: Wait for 15m to close above 3.54 HVN and Up Vol > 60%, chase long, stop-loss 3.52, target 3.62
Cautious: If it breaks below 3.46 LVN and can't pull back, go short, stop-loss 3.475, target 3.30, risk-reward ratio 2.0
【Risk Control】
• Single trade risk ≤ 1%
• Avoid high volatility at the opening of the US East
• If 3.44 HVN is lost or RSI falls below 45, strategy invalidates, exit immediately
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