The overall rhythm of the forecast is quite clear, especially referring to the trend of 2021 to anchor the general direction, the logic is solid: a breakthrough to a new high at the half-year level, weakness and adjustment in the third quarter, and then a strong market surge at the end of the year—this broad framework can serve as a reference.

After reaching new highs, retail investors often rush in to chase prices, whether in the spot or futures market, there is a high probability of concentrated buying. Based on this rhythm, closing around 102000 by the end of the month is a relatively reasonable expectation.

The current position at 118000 can easily trigger panic emotions, especially concerns about unknown risks will be amplified. During such times, short-term operations should not be frequent, and defensive measures must be taken. $BTC