$BTC Bitcoin Profit-Taking:

Healthy Cycle or Overheated Peak?

Recent on-chain data and market indicators suggest a nuanced narrative beneath Bitcoin’s slight 5% weekly pullback. While many holders are realizing gains, the broader trend remains constructive .

Key insights:

SOPR for Long-Term Holders (LTH) is reaching fresh highs in 2025—indicating LTHs are booking profits, but not yet at cycle exhaustion .

Golden Cross Alert: Bitcoin’s 50-day EMA crossed above the 200-day EMA in late May, boosting confidence in the rally. Post-crossover, hourly realized profits exceeded $500 million multiple times .

Short-Term Holder MVRV—tracking unrealized profits for recent buyers—is still below the classic profit-taking threshold (~35%), suggesting room for further upside before short-term capitulation .

Derivatives and Funding Rates remain active and supportive of bullish momentum, even amid occasional profit-cashing from traders .

Learning Takeaway:

Realized profits—whether from long-term or short-term holders—are healthy signals of a maturing rally, not immediate signs of a peak. Sustainable growth often includes periodic sales and pauses. Combine on-chain metrics (like SOPR, MVRV) with technical setups (like Golden Crosses) to spot smarter entry and exit zones.

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Bitcoin is cooling—but not topping out yet.

📉 Yes, long-term holders are taking profits, SOPR is at 2025 highs, and some intraday gains were locked in (~$500 M/hr after the May golden cross).

✅ But key momentum indicators like short-term MVRV and funding rates hint this rally still has legs.

🔁 Profit-taking isn’t a sell signal—it signals market maturity. Watch confluence: on‑chain + technicals = smarter timing.