Brothers! Aidi is here! Today's global economic calendar is like a New Year’s celebration with firecrackers, making all kinds of noise! Do you know what you care about the most? Of course, what impact it has on our crypto circle! Aidi has already pulled out all the key points for you; it's all dry goods, no nonsense, just highlight the key points, and understanding these three waves will give you confidence!
Eye of the Storm One: State Council Foreign Exchange Data (3 PM)
At this point, we’re holding a big meeting at home! (It’s the State Council’s press conference) to announce how our foreign exchange balance was in the first half of the year. This is a thermometer! Is money flowing out or coming in? Is it stable?
What does Aidi think? The core is to look at confidence! If the data is impressive, showing that our economy is solid and foreign capital is willing to come, that's good for overall market sentiment! When sentiment is high, risk assets (yes, including our big ETHs) will likely follow the trend. If there's even a slight breeze, the market may shudder a bit. But don’t panic! It’s not directly linked to coin prices; mainly, we look at whether the big environment is warm! At 3 PM, just take a look and get a baseline in your mind. If we can hold steady, confidence will be strong!
Eye of the Storm Two: Powell's 'Opening Statement' (8:30 PM)
The main event is here! The number one KOL in the global financial market—Fed Chair Powell, will make an appearance tonight at 8:30 PM! Don’t underestimate just an opening statement (welcoming remarks); every word from old Powell could trigger a storm!
What does Aidi think? The entire world is guessing when the Fed will cut rates and by how much. As long as old Powell mentions inflation, employment, or future policy direction, even a slight hint is a heavy signal! Remember the key points:
Dovish (bias towards easing): Saying inflation is under control, and the economy needs support… OK, the dollar might soften a bit, and other risk assets including cryptocurrencies might thrive!
Hawkish (bias towards tightening): Saying inflation is still persistent and cannot ease off… Whoosh! The market may be startled, the dollar might strengthen, and risk appetite could cool down.
Related to the crypto circle: Powell's speech directly influences market expectations for the dollar's future and overall risk appetite! This is the most sensitive 'external weather' for Bitcoin and Ethereum! Even if no specific policy comes out today, his 'weather vane' role is crucial. At 8:30 PM tonight, get your little stool ready! As soon as old Powell speaks, global markets will be all ears! It's hard not to pay attention in our crypto circle!
Eye of the Storm Three: Overnight big shots relay + Oil Inventory Data (1 AM & 4:30 AM)
Brothers who can't hold out tonight, don’t rush, focus on these two points; the early bird catches the worm!
Fed Governor Bowman 'Fireside Chat' (1 AM): This lady is also a voting member of the Fed! When she chats, if the content involves monetary policy or economic views, it’s a signal that cannot be ignored. Let’s see if she follows Powell’s lead or has a different voice.
US Oil Inventory (API Crude Oil Inventory Data, 4:30 AM): Why pay attention to oil? Oil prices affect global inflation nerves! Is the inventory more than expected? Then oil prices may fall, inflation expectations will ease, which is good for risk appetite (possibly indirectly benefiting crypto). If inventories are low? Oil prices may rise, inflation worries will resurface… This will also affect the Fed's decision-making thoughts.
What does Aidi think: Although these two points are later, they can reinforce or mitigate the impact of old Powell's previous speech. Especially Bowman's talk, which further verifies the direction. Crude oil data is related to the key line of inflation, indirectly adding bricks to the future direction of monetary policy. Brothers trading overnight or waking up early need to keep an eye out.
Aidi's Trading Advice:
3 PM China Foreign Exchange Data: When looking at the market sentiment thermometer, the impact is more short-term.
Powell at 8:30 PM: The top priority! Absolutely capable of causing major fluctuations! The market may be cautious before the speech (volatility may increase), and after hearing the signal (dove or hawk), the market will choose a direction. Today's operation suggests watching more and acting less; wait for old Powell's signal! If you really want to act, keep your positions light to avoid 'wild punches'!
Overnight Data: For those trading short-term, use it as a 'patch' and understand it in conjunction with the previous signals.
Final reminder! Market reactions can sometimes be 'amplified'! Don’t rush in just because of one piece of news! Combine technical levels (support and resistance) and the overall market atmosphere for judgment. Keep your hands steady; live long! There are plenty of opportunities!
Summary:
Today's lineup is top-notch! From confidence in China to global central banks making announcements, and then to inflation clues… Every point is pulling the nerves of global funds, influencing whether it will rain or shine in the 'crypto weather'! Check the temperature in the afternoon, follow Brother Powell in the evening, and look at the patches at dawn. Stability is paramount; information is key! Aidi has already sorted it all out clearly; the rest depends on what answer the market gives! Stay focused, and analyze calmly!
Aidi is always online, closely monitoring the market! If there’s any new interpretation, we’ll see it in the group first! Brothers, stay steady; we can win!
I am Ailes, guiding you through the fog of the crypto circle to seize hardcore opportunities! Follow me, and we'll keep a close watch on the crypto opportunities under the storm of the trade war! What you lack is not luck, but Ailes’ top team!
