“NEAR 2.9 Stalemate! Main Force Quietly Accumulating or Luring Shorts? Understand the Bull-Bear Lifeline in One Article”
【Quick Overview】
NEAR current price 2.956, 24h slight decline -1.86%, but buy orders exceed 85,000 USDT, and there is 560,000 USDT liquidity lurking at 2.6-2.59; short-term is at the lower Bollinger Band + RSI 35 oversold zone, if 2.94 support holds, one can trade in the value range of 2.54-3.00 for high sell and low buy, stop loss 2.91, target 3.06, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.5; if it breaks down 2.9 on increased volume, the bullish structure will fail, and one must guard against a waterfall to 2.6.
【Key Ranges and Volume Structure】
1. Value Anchoring Zone (POC): 2.539, maximum volume in 20 days 26.8 million, with 2.54-2.55 becoming a “magnet” contested by bulls and bears.
2. High Volume Node (HVN):
• 2.97-3.00 (24.3-25.1 million) — strong resistance above, rebound here may encounter selling pressure.
• 2.51-2.53 (22.7-23.8 million) — buffer below, can go long on pullbacks.
3. Low Volume Gap (LVN):
• 2.36-2.43, 3.07-3.10 — once broken through/down, price will move quickly across.
4. 70% Volume Coverage Area: 2.12-3.05, current price is at the upper edge of this area, slightly overbought in the short term; but RSI 35 gives a reverse signal, waiting for pullback confirmation.
5. Momentum Verification:
• POC Area Up/Down Vol 11.71/13.61 million (46% buyers), slightly bearish;
• 2.97 HVN Up Vol 1.09/1.20 million (48% buyers), balanced between bulls and bears, needs volume breakout confirmation.
【Market Cycle】
Mid-term is still in the “High Position Volatility” phase:
• 7-day holding increased by 8.85%, but 24h net capital outflow 3.35 million, bull-bear ratio dropped from 2.92 to 2.72, short-term bulls are reducing positions.
• After a 55% rise in 30 days, it is consolidating, in line with mid-cycle characteristics of a bull market; if it holds the 2.5-2.6 platform, there is still a possibility to attack 3.3-3.5 again.
【Trading Strategy】
Range Rebound Model (1-4h Cycle):
① Entry: 2.945-2.950 (pullback to LVN 2.94 interior + lower Bollinger Band), appears 15m Up Volume > 60% and bullish candle engulfs the previous bearish candle.
② Stop Loss: 2.905 (below HVN 2.91 exterior + 0.5×ATR ≈ 0.035).
③ Target: 3.060 (upper HVN 3.06-3.10 lower edge).
④ Risk-Reward Ratio: (3.06-2.95)/(2.95-2.905) = 0.11/0.045 ≈ 2.44.
⑤ Position Size: Account 1% risk, ATR 0.07, can open 1.4x leverage, nominal position size ≈ 14% capital.