Current situation (July 21, 2025):
- Price: ~12.50–13.00 USD (based on current data, CoinMarketCap, MEXC).
- Context: AUCTION is the native token of Bounce Finance, a decentralized platform for token and NFT auctions on Ethereum, BNB Chain, Arbitrum, and Polygon. Launched in 2020, it supports auction formats (fixed price, Dutch, sealed). Used for governance, fees, staking, and IDO. Market capitalization: ~85–90 million USD (ranking ~350–400). Trading volume: ~20–50 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~6.59 million AUCTION, maximum: 10 million. Price has fallen ~76% from ATH (53.64 USD, April 2021), but has risen ~9–15% over the week (@CoinGecko, @MEXC). TVL: ~20–30 million USD.
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 17.00–38.73 USD (growth of 35–200%).
- Neutral: 11.50–22.93 USD (growth of 0–80%).
- Pessimistic: 3.39–7.60 USD during corrections or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: 11.09–12.50 USD, 7.60–8.00 USD.
- Resistance: 17.34–18.96 USD, 20.69–24.73 USD.
- Trend: Mixed. Daily chart neutral (RSI ~50, 50 MA above 200 MA), weekly bullish (MACD rising). Breakout at 17.34 USD may signal growth, drop below 11.09 USD — correction.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Auctions and NFTs: Bounce V3 (2023) improved the platform, integration with SeoulAuction Blue for Claude Monet's on-chain auction ('Paysage', November 2024) attracted attention. Support for 6000+ auction pools, trading volume ~7000 ETH.
- Partnerships: Binance, MEXC, Bybit, KuCoin, Chainlink, Arbitrum, Solana. Integration with BounceBit and AI Robotics for scalable auctions.
- Tokenomics: Deflationary model, burning 50% of fees, staking (APR ~3–7%).
- Community: Positive on X (@MEXC, @AltCryptoGems) — expectations of growth to $20–30 with listings and DeFi trends.
- BTC halving (2024): supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- Innovations: Auction-as-a-Service (AaaS), cross-chain trading, protection against MEV.
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify AUCTION as a security.
- Volatility: low market cap (~90 million USD) vulnerable to whales.
- Competition: OpenSea, Rarible in NFT, Uniswap in DeFi.
- Unlocks: ~160 million USD in 2024 caused pressure, possible unlocks in 2025 (~50 million USD).
- Pessimism: WalletInvestor predicts a drop to $3.39–7.54 USD by 2026, considering AUCTION a poor investment.
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on corrections up to 11.09–12.50 USD, stop below 7.60 USD. Target: 17.00–22.00 USD. Staking (APR ~3–7%) for income.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at 17.34 USD, target 20.69–24.73 USD. Sell below 11.09 USD, target 7.60–8.00 USD.
- Risk: 0.5–1% of deposit due to high volatility, low liquidity, and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulation, declining interest in NFT/DeFi, drop in BTC/ETH.
#AUCTION/USDT. #Binance $AUCTION