$ETH A week of crazy rebounds and sudden drops can easily create the illusion of 'getting rich overnight'. However, looking at it over a longer time frame, those who have survived rely not on 'All in', but on position management, discipline execution, and long-term learning. Instead of chasing every short-term fluctuation, it is better to calmly study the underlying logic: Bitcoin ETF fund flows, Ethereum ecosystem development, macro interest rate policies... Investment is the realization of cognition, and cognition requires time to settle. This week, Bitcoin showed a high and then a pullback trend, peaking at 123219 on Monday before falling under pressure, dipping to around 115736 on Tuesday, and then making a second attempt to attack 120954 on Friday before retreating to 116812, indicating significant selling pressure at high levels. Ethereum performed strongly this week, starting a rebound trend, skyrocketing from 2950 to 3767. Although it fell back along with Bitcoin on Friday, the extent of the pullback was limited, showing strong buying support. On Monday, Bitcoin's two long and three short positions captured a space of 4872 points, while Ethereum's position captured 573 points; on Tuesday, three shorts took 4183 points, and Ethereum captured 149 points; on Wednesday, two longs captured 2761 points, and Ethereum captured 201 points; on Thursday, three longs and two shorts captured 5256 points, and Ethereum captured 302 points; on Friday, four longs and two shorts captured 6003 points, and Ethereum captured 363 points; on Saturday, two longs and one short captured 1902 points, and Ethereum captured 158 points; on Sunday morning, the long strategy for Ethereum also successfully captured nearly 150 points. Currently, Bitcoin's key support is in the 115700-116800 range; if it breaks, it may dip to 113000; the upper resistance to watch is 120900-121500, and if broken, it may challenge the high point of 123200 again. On the technical indicators front, RSI (55) is neutral to strong, MACD has a dead cross at a high level but is decreasing in volume, and in the short term, it may continue to fluctuate, needing to pay attention to the breakout direction. Ethereum currently has key support at 3550-3600; if it holds, it may aim for 4000; if it loses support, it may retest 3400. Technical indicators show RSI (72) is close to overbought, indicating a possible need for a pullback in the short term, but the moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term trend remains strong, potentially continuing to rise after retesting the support. Overall market sentiment is greatly influenced by macro factors, with a need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's policy direction, and strict stop-loss settings are necessary when trading. Bitcoin suggestion: Long near 117800-118000 targeting 120000, continue to look up if broken; if encountering resistance, reverse. Ethereum suggestion: Long near 3700-3720 targeting 3850, continue to look up if broken; if encountering resistance, consider a different approach. #Chainbase上线币安