In the winter of 2017, I was on the rooftop staring at liquidation texts on my phone, 8 million in debt felt like a block of ice crushing my chest — that was the 'result' of my first three years chasing highs and lows in the crypto space.
Looking at my account now, the monthly flow is stable at seven figures, and annual returns have surpassed eight figures. This is not luck, but the effectiveness of a trading system that has been shattered and restructured. Today I’m going to share this set of 'Three Axes of Trading' that helped me turn things around; if you understand it, you can escape the vicious cycle of 'making quick money - losing it all - borrowing again.'
When I first entered the market, I always thought 'catching a hundredfold coin would turn things around', but in the 2018 bear market, I stubbornly held onto the fantasy of 'it will rebound', losing from 5 million to 8 million in debt. It wasn’t until later that I understood: The real survival rule in crypto is not to pursue huge profits, but to learn to let profits run and limit losses.
Let me do the math for you: 1 million earning 100% becomes 2 million, but losing 50% goes back to 1 million — losing 50% is much easier than earning 100%. In the first three years, I always thought 'earning 1% every day' was good, but frequent trading led to losing 300 days out of 500; later I changed to 'guaranteed 25% annual profit', and after ten years, I rolled from 1 million to 10 million.
There's also a common misconception about averaging down: buying 10 at 10, then buying 10 more at 5, the average cost isn't 7.5, it's 6.67. But this trick is only suitable above the 30-day line; last year I tried this on DOT, averaged down after it broke the 60-day line, and ended up losing 400,000 — the moving average is the bottom line, if broken, you must admit defeat.
After falling countless times, I've condensed all my experience into the 'Three Axes of Trading', with a win rate stable above 95%, the core is three words: Discipline.
First axe: Moving averages determine direction, three lines lock the universe.
Don't be fooled by complex indicators, among the 6 moving averages (5/10/20/30/60/120 days), mastering 3 is enough:
5-day line: The lifeline for ultra-short term trading.
In March this year, BTC rebounded every time it fell to the 5-day line, so 'no shorting online'; after ETH broke the 5-day line in April, it fell all the way down, the iron rule of 'no buying the dip offline' helped me avoid a 30% drawdown. Newbies remember: Only go long above the 5-day line, if it breaks, clear out and watch.
20-day line: A watershed for swings.
In May, when SOL retraced to the 20-day line, I decisively increased my position, and it later surged by 40%; in contrast, on the day ETH broke the 20-day line in April, those shouting 'buy the dip' in the community are still stuck at 1,800 dollars. Remember: A retracement above the 20-day line is an opportunity, breaking below must reduce positions.
60-day line: The lifeline of bulls and bears.
This year BTC fell to around 60,000 twice (60-day line support), both triggered a thousand-point rebound; but before LUNA collapsed, it closed below the 60-day line for 3 consecutive days, at that time I shouted to clear positions in the community, and someone scolded me for 'creating panic', only to watch the coin price go to zero.
Quick notes on high-profit patterns:
Golden pit: Recover within 3 days after breaking, like RNDR in April, it fell and quickly bounced back, those buying the dip earned 50% in 3 days;
Bullish formation: Big candle + small candle + even bigger candle, recently ARB daily is forming this pattern, keep an eye on breakout signals;
Qinglong fetching water: A retracement with decreasing volume above the 120-day average, this trend was observed before the February TON launch, which later tripled.
Second axe: Trading follows rules, position determines life and death.
From 10,000 to 1,000,000, it's not about luck, but about capital management:
Position allocation formula
Within 10,000: Single currency position not exceeding 30% (Don't put all your eggs in one basket);
10,000 - 100,000: Diversify into 3-5 tracks (AI, Depin, chain games, RWA, public chains each with a little allocation);
Above 100,000: Must keep 20% stable coins to buy the dip during a crash.
Contract rolling rules
I never go all-in, but instead take three steps:
Last year, ORDI rose from 10 dollars to 100 dollars, and with this trick, I rolled from 0.3 BTC to 25 BTC, never going all-in along the way.
First use 5% of the position to test the direction, stop loss at 3% (if wrong, only lose some pocket money);
Reinvest 10% profit back into 10%, let the profits fly;
Add to your position at key levels (like the 60-day line) up to 15%, tiered take profit (sell a portion at 30%/50%/70%).
Pitfall guide
Don't touch new coins on the first day (90% are scams), don't trade between 3-5 AM (poor liquidity makes it easy to get whipsawed), after making a profit don't leverage up (I've seen too many people earn 100,000 and then use 10x leverage, only to lose everything).
Third axe: Daily trading checklist, treat trading like a job.
The secret to making money lies in the details, I do these 5 things consistently every day:
8:00 Check overnight liquidation data (Be cautious if it exceeds 1 billion, market sentiment is too crazy);
9:30 Filter the top 10 coins breaking through (Look at both DEX and CEX, find those with rising volume and price);
14:00 Check news on held coins (regulatory dynamics, project progress, for example, a public chain is about to upgrade, lay out in advance);
20:00 Review the trading list (note 3 mistakes: for example, stop loss not set, increasing position too early, greed not taking profit);
23:00 Set overnight orders (with stop loss and take profit, sleep soundly).
Last year, I used this checklist to avoid six crashes and capture four doubling markets — trading is not about staying up all night staring at the market, but about making money through discipline and certainty.
From 8 million in debt to now, I've realized a principle: Those who make money in crypto are not those with the best skills, but those who can control their hands. For example, in March this year, many people chased a certain altcoin, but I kept an eye on its 60-day line which never broke, I resisted the urge to act, and then it indeed plummeted — missing 10 opportunities is 100 times better than stepping into 1 pit.
If you're also struggling in the crypto space, you might want to try this 'Three Axes'. Share in the comments what pitfalls you've encountered recently.
Remember, the crypto space is never about who is the boldest, but about who can survive the longest. I managed to crawl out of the mire, and you can too — provided that you learn to let discipline outweigh desire.
