The past trading week not only marked a new all-time high for Bitcoin but also sparked strong expectations for an 'Altseason' – a booming growth season for altcoins. As Bitcoin shows signs of a slight correction, many altcoins have recorded strong increases, raising hopes for a shift of capital towards alternative assets.

A well-known analyst with the X (Twitter) account named PlanD shared his view on the current market trend, pointing out three core factors that could confirm the real start of altseason.

1. Bitcoin and Ethereum Need 'Healthy' Adjustments

After Bitcoin surpassed $121,000 and Ethereum rose above $3,400, PlanD believes that a correction towards closer support levels will be a positive sign. Specifically:

  • Bitcoin: Correction towards the area of ~$111,000

  • Ethereum: Correction towards the area of ~$3,250

The purpose of this adjustment is not a sign of weakness but to facilitate the flow of capital from BTC and ETH to altcoins, thereby activating a new rally across the market.

2. ETH/BTC Pair Must Rise – A Sign of the 'Health' of Altcoins

Another key indicator is the ETH/BTC exchange rate. If Ethereum can maintain support around $3,250 and starts to rise more strongly than Bitcoin, this will enhance the relative strength of altcoins.

When ETH outperforms BTC, market sentiment often shifts towards higher-risk assets, namely altcoins, increasing the chances for a broad growth cycle.

3. BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Breaks Structure – A Decisive Signal for Altseason

The most important signal according to PlanD is Bitcoin's dominance index (BTC Dominance). After months of maintaining an upward trend, BTC.D has broken the support trendline, opening up the possibility of market structure change.

  • The 63.40% threshold is currently seen as a key testing point.

  • If BTC.D cannot break above this threshold after retesting, it may very well begin a long-term downtrend, thereby setting the stage for altcoin explosions.

🚀 Opportunities for Sectors: RWA – AI – Gaming

In the scenario where altseason is confirmed, PlanD suggests that tokens related to potential sectors will be the focus:

  • RWA (Real-World Assets): Digitized assets from the real world

  • AI (Artificial Intelligence): Blockchain projects applying AI

  • Gaming: GameFi, NFT Gaming, Metaverse...

These projects often attract new capital and FOMO sentiment from investors, especially when the market enters a phase of excitement.

📈 Current Market Overview

  • Total crypto market capitalization: $3.83 trillion USD

  • Fear & Greed Index: 69 – indicating optimistic sentiment

  • Altseason Index: 42 – approaching the activation zone for altseason (usually above 50 confirms altseason)

✅ Conclusion

Although altseason has not been fully confirmed, technical signs and capital flows are gradually converging. If Bitcoin and Ethereum adjust reasonably, ETH/BTC grows, and BTC.D fails to break the 63.40% level, it could trigger a strong price surge for altcoins.

Investors should closely monitor the three signals above, especially BTC Dominance, to proactively adjust their portfolio strategy when the market enters a new hot phase.