๐ Detailed Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
๐ 1. Market Structure & Chart Pattern
Major Downtrend Line Breakout โ Reversal Signal:
After being stuck under a persistent downtrend for nearly 9 months, EGLD has officially broken out of the descending trendline, signaling a potential shift from distribution to expansion phase. This breakout is significant and could mark the beginning of a new bullish trend.
Double Bottom + Accumulation Range:
Price action shows a clear double bottom formation within the $13.00โ$16.50 range, which acted as a strong accumulation zone. This horizontal structure suggests buyers have been silently accumulating before triggering this breakout.
Resistance Turned Support (RBS):
The breakout is now being retested around the $17 level. If EGLD holds this area, it would confirm a support flip, which is a classic bullish signal. Holding above this zone would give bulls full control over the next moves.
๐ข 2. Bullish Scenario (Base Case):
If the breakout sustains with increasing momentum:
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Short-Term Targets:
$20.08 and $21.88 โ minor historical resistance levels.
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Mid-Term Targets:
$27.93 and $33.66 โ key levels aligning with measured move targets and Fibonacci retracements.
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Long-Term Targets:
$39.41, $48.41, up to $55.61โ$58.25 โ previous key highs and psychological zones.
๐ก If EGLD successfully retests and holds above $17.00, it presents a strong opportunity for trend-following entries with favorable risk-reward.
๐ด 3. Bearish Scenario (Alternative Case):
If this breakout fails (false breakout scenario):
โ ๏ธ Price could fall back into the previous accumulation range between $13.00โ$15.50.
A breakdown below that range could drag EGLD further down toward $11.40, or even $10.00 โ a crucial long-term support zone.
Lack of volume or weak bullish confirmation would be early signs of a failed breakout.
๐ง 4. Sentiment & Broader Context:
๐ This breakout comes at a time when altcoin capital rotation is starting to emerge as BTC dominance cools off.
๐ EGLD, as a smart contract platform, historically performs well during altseason waves and ecosystem narratives.
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Final Thoughts:
> EGLD has printed a significant breakout from long-term bearish control. With accumulation completed and momentum building, this may be the beginning of a bullish cycle. However, staying above the $17 level is the key validation to confirm this trend reversal.
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