Here is the daily forecast and analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) on July 20, 2025:
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📌 1. Current Condition
Bitcoin is currently oscillating around $117,900, with daily fluctuations from $117,500 to $118,500. Current volatility is moderate, showing stabilization after reaching the latest peak above $122,000.
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📊 2. Short-term Forecasts
Binance predicts slight strengthening in the weekly outlook – +5%, nearing $125,000–$128,000 by the end of July, with neutral RSI and lack of MACD signals.
CryptoNews (July 18) indicates potential upward movement to $140,000–$142,000, supported by low STH MVRV (~1.15), suggesting a possible increase of 20–25% before a correction.
CoinCodex estimates the range of fluctuations in July: from $121,000, hence further movements to $138,000–$142,000 are possible with momentum.
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🌍 3. Macro and Institutional Context
The cryptocurrency sector has surpassed a value of $4 trillion, bolstered by legislative actions (including the Genius Act, CLARITY Act), which promotes the adoption of Bitcoin by institutions.
Record inflows of institutional capital and legal support (Trump's 'Strategic Bitcoin Reserve') generate bullish trend pressure.
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📈 4. Today's Scenarios – what is possible?
Scenario Description
🔼 Bullish Momentum fueled by institutions leads to a breakout above $121,000–$123,000, which could initiate a further rally towards $125,000–$130,000.
🔄 Consolidation The price remains in the range of $117,500–$121,000, awaiting further impulses from macro.
🔽 Correction A stronger USD or ETF withdrawals could bring BTC down to the $112,000–$115,000 range, but structural support remains solid.
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🎯 5. Key Levels to Watch Today
1. $121,000–$122,000 – resistance, breaking through will confirm the continuation of momentum.
2. $117,500 – current support, its loss may cause a correction to $115,000.
3. Institutional sentiment and legislative news may be catalysts for further movements.
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✅ 6. Recommendation for today
Day traders: take advantage of movements in the range of $117,500–$121,000; a breakout above this range may consider short 'longs' with a target of $124,000–$126,000, stop-loss around $117,000.
Investors: analysis remains bullish, structural support is strong. Consolidation closer to the midpoint gives time for decision-making – buy at $117,500–$118,000, planning for potential growth on breakout.
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🧩 Summary
Bitcoin continues to move in a tight consolidation – supported by comprehensive factors (institutions, regulations, macro), potential for further growth has been opened. Today, reactions at $121,000 will be key, and RSI and MVRV indicate room for upward movement before a correction. For the cautious – leave a margin in the strategy.
