Is XRP going to hit $100? Wake up first, let’s talk about the reality behind this “pipe dream”

Recently, the crypto community has been flooded with claims that “XRP will soar to $100 each,” generating immense hype. But can this really happen? Let’s break it down from several key dimensions and not let fantasies overshadow reality.

1. ETF approval = skyrocketing to $100? Let’s first look at the “cautionary tale” of Bitcoin ETF

Some are wildly promoting: “Once XRP ETF is approved, institutions will go on a buying spree, and $100 is as solid as a rock!” But think about it calmly, after the approval of the Bitcoin ETF, BTC couldn’t even reach $100,000; why would XRP surge by dozens of times?

To reach $100, XRP’s market cap would need to increase several times. Can the current capital volume of the crypto market and market sentiment really support such an exaggerated increase? Institutions are not philanthropists; why would they all-in and bet on XRP skyrocketing?

2. “All global banks use XRP,” but the supply issue is an insurmountable mountain

The total supply of XRP exceeds 99.9 billion. If you want to rely on “bank demand” to push it to $100, let’s first calculate the supply and demand: with such a large supply, even if banks widely adopt it, the demand that can be leveraged won’t fill the massive circulation gap.

Bank cooperation is more about expanding business scenarios, not about acting as “buyers” to push the price. Given the supply, it’s nearly impossible for the price to reach $100 solely driven by demand.

3. Compared to BTC and ETH, XRP's ecological shortcomings are too obvious

ETH is the leader in DeFi and NFT fields, with its ecosystem thriving; BTC has the strongest institutional backing and the consensus of “digital gold.” In contrast, XRP mainly relies on cross-border payment scenarios, and its ecosystem development has not kept pace.

The market cap gap is also quite visual: BTC and ETH are trillion-dollar markets, for XRP to chase $100, its market cap would need to soar to nearly $10 trillion, which is too unrealistic.

Conclusion: XRP can increase, but don’t dream of $100 just yet

This is not to say XRP lacks potential; a few times increase is possible, but reaching $100? Let’s first tackle the “market cap ceiling” and the “massive supply” hurdles. The crypto market needs enthusiasm, but it also needs clarity—don’t let fantasies cloud your judgment; rational thinking is necessary to avoid the scythe.

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