#AltcoinBreakout 📈【FOMO Alert】1000SHIB 0.0149 is at the 'Value Reversion Critical Point'! Missing this retracement may lead to regrets — but bears are still lurking, misstepping could lead to significant losses!
Quick Overview
Price is tightly adhering to the middle Bollinger Band (49% position), with the upper resistance at 0.0153 + LVN gap acting as a hurdle, and the lower support at 0.0134 POC massive turnover zone; the contract positions have decreased by 2.57% in the past 24 hours, with a net outflow of 745 million, and the long-short ratio dropped from 2.66 to 2.32, indicating weakened short-term bullish momentum. Strategy: Buy on retracement at POC or 0.0137 HVN, chase bullish if it breaks above 0.0153, set stop loss at 0.0132, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.4, position size ≤ 1%, be cautious if it breaks below 0.0134 with increased volume as it may turn bearish.
Key Interval Structure
1. Value Anchoring Zone: POC 0.013415 (2.98 billion in transactions)
2. High Volume HVN: 0.0134-0.0135, 0.0144-0.0145 (provides rebound buffer)
3. Low Volume LVN: 0.0126-0.0128, 0.0156-0.0160 (breakout/retracement acceleration zone)
4. 70% Volume Coverage Zone: 0.01138-0.01520, current price at the upper edge, slightly overbought in the short term.
Momentum Verification
• POC Zone Up/Down ≈ 52/48, long-short balance
• 0.0144 HVN Up/Down ≈ 48/52, sellers slightly favored
• 0.0156 LVN Up Volume > 60%, may chase if it breaks out with volume.
Auxiliary Indicators
• MA200: 0.01392 (strong support below, deviated +7%)
• Contract positions down 3.13% in 4h, price up +1.33%, divergence warning suggests caution in chasing highs
• Funding rate +0.01%, mild cost for bulls.
Market Cycle
Weekly level is still in a 'Large Range Consolidation' phase, entering a short-term correction after a 30% increase over 14 days; Daily shows an 'Ascending Wedge', if it drops below 0.0134 it will confirm a stage top.
Trading Strategy
Aggressive: Short small position at current price 0.0149, stop loss at 0.01535, target at 0.0137, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.6
Conservative: Wait for a retracement to 0.0137-0.0138 HVN and buy when 15m Up Volume > 55%, stop loss at 0.0132, target at 0.0153, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.4
Cautious: Chase bullish if it breaks above 0.0153 with volume > 1.5 times the average, stop loss at 0.0148, target at 0.0160, risk-reward ratio ≈ 1.9.
Risk Warning
• Key Failure: Break below 0.0134 with increased volume or drop below 0.0132 with decreased volume
• Macro: If the market corrects, high Beta meme coins may see amplified declines
• Liquidity: High slippage in LVN range, prioritize limit orders, avoid market order gambles.
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