🔥AIN flashed a 9% crash revealing a value pit! Is the $0.12 bottom-buying window only 24 hours?
Summary in one sentence: AIN plummeted 6.4% in 24 hours, contract positions sharply decreased by 18%, and the price has dropped to 1.2% below POC. RSI 29 indicates oversold + support from the lower Bollinger Band, a short-term rebound may occur; however, on the daily level, it is still in a downtrend channel, and the LVN gap below $0.12 may become a bearish trap. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly, with a strict stop-loss at $0.115.
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📊 Range structure and transaction codes
• Value anchoring zone: $0.1259 (POC) is the maximum transaction dense area over 8 days, current price deviates by -6.3%, with lower HVN $0.1187-$0.1229 forming a three-layer buffer zone
• Key LVN gap: The range of $0.088-$0.101 has seen no transactions in the last 7 days; if it breaks below $0.115, it will trigger a waterfall decline
• 70% transaction zone: $0.1158-$0.1720, current price is at the lower edge of the range by 13%, close to the oversold edge
• Momentum verification: Around POC Up/Down Volume=47.4%:52.6% slightly favors the bears, but three consecutive long lower shadow candlesticks below $0.12 show buying interest
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🎯 Precise trading strategy
| Type | Entry | Stop Loss | Target 1 | Target 2 | Reward/Risk Ratio |
|--------|-------------|-----------|----------|----------|-------------------|
| Aggressive | $0.120-$0.122 | $0.1158 | $0.1259 (POC) | $0.1287 (HVN) | 1:2.3 |
| Conservative | $0.1187 (HVN) | $0.115 | $0.1259 | $0.1302 | 1:3.1 |
Risk management points:
• If it breaks below $0.115 (recent HVN outer side), stop loss immediately
• Abandon long positions if a 15m level shows a significant drop below $0.118 or Up Volume <35%
• Position size ≤1% (reverse calculation from ATR 0.008)
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⚠️ Triple risk alert
1. Contract positions: 24h reduction of 18.18%, bearish dominance unchanged (long/short ratio 1.78→1.85)
2. Liquidity trap: LVN gap below $0.115 may trigger a quick drop of -15%
3. Macro correlation: If BTC falls below $65k, AIN may test the historical low of $0.088
Data as of 2025-07-19 17:57, strategy validity until July 20, 18:00
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