【FOMO Alert】After DOGE surged 8.26%, is there still 10% space above 0.25? Understand the bull-bear lifeline with one chart!
Summary in one sentence: DOGE rose 5.4% in 24 hours and stabilized above 0.25. VPVR shows that the 0.20-0.24 range is a super accumulation area. If it retraces to 0.248-0.25 in the short term, it can be bought low; if it breaks below 0.245, bulls should retreat; the upper range of 0.26-0.28 is a thin vacuum, breaking through may lead to 0.30, but contract positions have already decreased by 408M, cautious when chasing highs.
Key intervals and volume distribution
1. Value anchor: POC = 0.2002 (3338M huge volume), the central point of all chips in the past three weeks, if it retraces without breaking, it is considered a continuation of the bull market.
2. High volume buffer: 0.2402-0.2438 (HVN, 2350M-2600M) is the current bull moat; 0.1978-0.2008 (HVN, 2780M-3338M) is the second moat below.
3. Low volume gap: 0.2529-0.2565 (LVN, only 428M) is the acceleration breakout zone; below 0.222-0.226 (LVN, <600M) is a quick pullback channel.
4. 70% transaction zone: 0.1639-0.2487, the current price is at the upper edge, short-term overbought but not extreme.
Momentum validation: Up Volume at around 0.25 accounts for 58%, with buying slightly superior; above 0.26, Up Volume is only 29%, belonging to a vacuum zone, volume must exceed 1.5 times the average for chasing long.
Bollinger Bands and positions
• 1h Bollinger Bands: 0.227-0.257, the current price is close to 82.8% of the upper band, with a short-term deviation of 21% from MA200, indicating a demand for pullback.
• OI 24h -4.1%, price +5.4%, divergence between volume and price, beware of bulls reducing positions to lure in buyers.
Trading strategy (15m-1h)
Aggressive: If the current price of 0.2518-0.2520 retraces without breaking, enter long; stop loss at 0.2478 (below HVN 0.2486 outside -0.5 ATR); target 0.2600 / 0.2680; risk-reward ratio ≈2.8.
Conservative: Wait for a retest of 0.248-0.249 and 15m Up Volume > 60% before re-entering; stop loss at 0.245; same target as above; risk-reward ratio ≈3.1.
Cautious: If it breaks below 0.245, short; stop loss at 0.248, target 0.240; risk-reward ratio ≈1.7.
Risk warning
• If the 1h close falls below 0.245, the bull structure fails.
• Contract funding rate at 0.01%, raising the bull cost, chasing highs can easily lead to squeeze.
• Large sell wall at 0.26 (26 million coins), must break through with volume to confirm upward movement.
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