Strategy's ascension to the world's most valuable company is INEVITABLE. This is not fantasy.
Snapshot foundation:
Strategy controls 601,550 BTC worth $70.8B at $117,724/BTC.
Enterprise Value $131.0B; mNAV 1.85 (EV / BTC NAV);
Market Cap $119.3B; Debt $8.224B (12% of BTC NAV);
Preferred $3.521B (5%); Open Interest $110.6B;
Implied Vol 49%; 30D Vol 52%; 1Y Vol 94%;
MSTR returns: 3M +33%, 1Y +172%, BSE +3,324%.
A $60.2B premium (EV minus BTC NAV) already prices scarcity gateway + disciplined capital stack before full product monetization.
Ultimate target: 1,000,000 BTC and hyperâmonetization price $21,000,000/BTC â base treasury $21T.
To clear $50T equity needs uplift factor â2.38 (mNAV + ancillary PV).
Gap from 601,550 to 1,000,000 is 398,450 BTC.
Strategic altitude shrinks; execution risk materially reduced.
The mountain is smaller than most realize.
They will CONSERVATIVELY reach a 1,000,000 Bitcoin hoard.
Let's sandbag the model and show you how easily it can be done.
Starting Stack : 601,550 BTC
Target (T): 1,000,000 BTC by 12/31/2027
Required Increment: 398,450 BTC
Calendar Window: H2 2025 (5.5 months) + 2026 (12) + 2027 (12) â 29.5 months
Average Monthly Acquisition Needed: ~13,510 BTC/mo
Aggressive frontâloading reduces lateâphase slippage risk. Saylor knows this.
Pacing:
H2 2025 add 105,000 BTC (to 706,550) about 21,000 per month (26.4 percent of total increment)
2026 Q1-Q2 add 115,000 (to 821,550) about 19,167 per month (28.9 percent)
2026 Q3-Q4 add 90,000 (to 911,550) about 15,000 per month (22.6 percent)
2027 Q1-Q2 add 55,000 (to 966,550) about 9,167 per month (13.8 percent)
2027 Q3-Q4 add 33,450 (to 1,000,000) about 5,575 per month (8.4 percent)
Over 70 percent achieved by end 2026 to reduce execution risk.
BTC acquisition price ladder (execution bands, not year end spot):
H2 2025: 150k low, 180k base, 220k high
2026 H1: 220k low, 260k base, 320k high
2026 H2: 300k low, 360k base, 430k high
2027 H1: 420k low, 500k base, 600k high
2027 H2: 500k low, 600k base, 750k high
These are pre hyper monetization structural prices.
Blended cost calculations (base case):
H2 2025: 105,000 Ă 180k = 18.90B
2026 H1: 115,000 Ă 260k = 29.90B
2026 H2: 90,000 Ă 360k = 32.40B
2027 H1: 55,000 Ă 500k = 27.50B
2027 H2: 33,450 Ă 600k = 20.07B
Total base fiat outlay â 128.77B
Blended average price â 128.77B / 398,450 â 323,200 per BTC
Low scenario total â 94.3B (average â 236,700)
High scenario total â 176.3B (average â 442,500)
Lock the stack at 1,000,000 BTC by end of 2027.
From that moment the equity value is a 2âvariable equation:
Equity = BTC Price (P) Ă 1,000,000 Ă mNAV multiple (M).
Target: $20,000,000,000,000.
Solve for what combinations of P and M get you there. Nothing else.
Required BTC price at different structural premiums (mNAV multiples):
M 1.85 â P â $10.81M
M 1.90 â $10.53M
M 2.00 â $10.00M
M 2.10 â $9.52M
M 2.20 â $9.09M
M 2.30 â $8.70M
M 2.40 â $8.33M
M 2.50 â $8.00M
M 2.75 â $7.27M
M 3.00 â $6.67M
Inverse view (you have a BTC price, what multiple must the market assign the stack to print $20T):
$12M â M â 1.667
$11M â 1.818
$10M â 2.0
$9.5M â 2.105
$9M â 2.222
$8.5M â 2.353
$8M â 2.5
$7.5M â 2.667
$7M â 2.857
$6.5M â 3.077
$6M â 3.333
Translation: You do not need NEAR Saylor's predicted $21M per BTC for $20T equity.
A midârange scarcity/option premium of M = 2.0â2.3 paired with BTC in the $8.7Mâ$10M band clears the target.
Modest premium expansion (2.5) drives required price to $8M.
A mania 3.0 premium slashes it to $6.67M.
If they somehow stop at 950K BTC instead of 1M, required price inflates only 5.26% (multiply by 1,000,000/950,000).
At 900K itâs +11.11%.
At 850K itâs +17.65%.
Stack completion gives margin of safety; shortfall does not kill the math, it just raises price thresholds.
Required BTC appreciation from today (~$117,724) to these bands (assuming 10â15 year hyperâmonetization glide):
To $10M over 10y â CAGR â 58.5% 12y â 47.6% 15y â 38.1%
To $8.7M (M 2.3 path) over 10y â 55.9% | 12y â 45.0% | 15y â 35.8%
To $8M (M 2.5 path) over 10y â 54.2% | 12y â 43.6% | 15y â 34.7%
Premium leverage intuition:
Around M = 2.0 each +0.1 multiple slice is worth roughly $0.48M reduction in required BTC price.
Move from 2.0 â 2.3 (three slices) and you shave â $1.4M off the needed perâcoin terminal price (10.0M â ~8.7M).
Thatâs âfreeâ value unlocked by defending structural scarcity premium.
One line master equation (print it everywhere):
$20T = 1,000,000 Ă P Ă M â P = 20,000,000 / M.
Lock the coins. Defend a 2+ scarcity premium.
Let BTC march into singleâdigit millions. Arithmetic does the rest.
A millionâcoin vault + a stable 2.0â2.3 structural premium only demands an $8.7Mâ$10M BTC to mint a $20T titan.
Push premium to 2.5? Need $8M. Hit a reflexive 3.0? $6.67M.
The â$20T fantasyâ is just a slope on a twoâvariable plane.
Secure the stack. Guard the premium.
Even with a reduction in premium, the $20T valuation is inevitable.
Oh yeah, this is also assuming Saylor stops at 1m BTC.
Sit still while the world reprices the base layer.