Why do you always cut losses before the surge of $ETH ? Because you don't understand these 2 'life-and-death switches'!

'GENIUS Act' + BlackRock ETF staking application, institutional net inflow of 727 million in a single day, but the whale Jump Crypto transferred 11,800 stETH to the exchange, increasing short-term selling pressure risk. Exchange reserves fell to 17.1 million, long-term holders are locking up, but the policy is a 'slow variable' while sentiment is a 'fast variable', beware of funding relay interruptions.

Short-term: Long position: Reduce 30% at current price of $3550, stop loss at $3480 (must cut if broken); Short position: Wait for volume to stabilize at $3480-3500 or for a long lower shadow to appear at $3430 before acting; Hedge: Buy $3400 put options (premium 5%).

Medium-term: Policy-driven breakthrough above $3700 and stabilization, target $3800-4000; Keep a close eye on BTC support level ($117600), correlation risk >80%.

Long-term: If ETH resolves its L2 dependency and accelerates RWA implementation, $5000 is possible; otherwise, $3500 may become the valuation ceiling.

Keep a close watch on two key lifelines:

$3480 support level (leave immediately if broken); Can BTC hold $117600 (unity in prosperity and adversity).

#GENIUS稳定币法案 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #ETH突破3600

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