Is the current $3594 actually a golden pit set by the main force? Last night a single whale swept up $700 million worth of chips, and ETF funds are pouring in at a speed of $370,000 per minute!
Technical patterns hide secrets: Is the middle Bollinger Band a trap or a spring?
The seemingly dangerous oscillation of the middle Bollinger Band is actually the last washout before a violent surge:
Bollinger Bands contraction hides dangers: Currently at 3594 closely touching the middle track, but the 4-hour chart shows the Bollinger Bands narrowing rapidly at <150 USD. Data from the past three years reveals that such a breakout leads to an average surge of 14% within 72 hours! A similar signal in February 2024 triggered a 23% single-day spike in ETH.
Volume patterns reveal the truth: Although prices are falling, trading volume shrank by 38% during the decline, while rebounds are accompanied by increasing volume - a typical method of accumulation by the main force.
Focus on these three major reversal signals:
Breakthrough at 3640: This will trigger $520 million in short liquidations, pushing the price straight to 3800;
MACD golden cross confirmation: The 4-hour chart's DIF and DEA are about to converge, with an average rise of 19% after a dead cross;
ETH/BTC exchange rate breaks 0.027: If it stabilizes, it will open the altcoin season, with ETH rising another 30% relative to BTC!
Policy nuclear bomb ignited: Trump personally lights the fuse for institutional FOMO.
Today's biggest black swan - Trump officially signs the (GENIUS Act)! This is not only a compliance benefit but also an epic turning point that rewrites the rules of the crypto world.
Core lethality of the bill:
Stablecoins forced to buy US Treasury: New regulations require 100% reserves to be cash or short-term treasuries, $120 billion in stablecoins will frantically buy US Treasuries, indirectly lowering market interest rates.
USDC emerges as the biggest winner: Circle's reserves are transparent + they obtained a license early, with market share soaring to 38% in July, crushing USDT's 51% and potentially reversing this year.
ETH reaps the benefits: 35% of global stablecoin settlements are done on Ethereum, and the new law forces giants like Visa and JPMorgan to increase their on-chain ETH layouts.
A more terrifying chain reaction: US retirement funds 401k are being forced into the market by the Trump administration! Even a 5% allocation to ETH would mean a buying power of $445 billion, enough to push ETH to $8000.
Whales vs institutions: An epic battle for accumulation has begun.
While you hesitate, smart money has already gone wild:
Public companies are hoarding coins: SharpLink bought $64.26 million worth of ETH in a single day, and the five giants of Nasdaq hold over $1 billion.
BlackRock goes crazy: On July 16, they splurged $500 million to buy 159,000 ETH, with the ETF raising a record $990 million in a single week.
Derivatives are surging: CME Ethereum futures open interest soared to $3.27 billion, with professional investors betting on a mid-term breakout at $4950.
Look at how arrogant the whales are: A mysterious address withdrew 122,000 ETH worth $440 million from FalconX last week, equivalent to swallowing 52 coins every minute! This kind of operation was accurately replicated on the eve of the 2023 bull market.
Danger alert: Retail investors are stepping into three deadly traps.
Don't get carried away by the bull market! Current hidden dangers:
Leverage is a powder keg: The total open interest for contracts across the network has reached $52.1 billion, with a long-short ratio soaring to 3.0, extremely dangerous; a flash crash could trigger $6 billion worth of liquidations.
Foundations are precisely harvesting retail investors: The Ethereum Foundation cashed out $52.82 million in three months, with each sale perfectly timed at local highs.
Regulatory black hand strikes: The US IRS plans to tax staking income, which may trigger short-term selling pressure.
Is it time to buy the dip or run for your life? The answer is hidden on-chain:
During last night's correction, the net outflow of ETH from the top ten exchanges surged by 220%; whales are withdrawing coins and hoarding spot! Coupled with the nuclear positive news of Trump signing the GENIUS Act today, Brother Qiu dares to assert: anything below 3600 is a golden pit gifted by the main force!
Hold your spot and wait for the triple strike:
Trump's bill was confirmed on July 19.
High probability of a Fed rate cut on July 31.
ETF pledge expected to pass by mid-August.
Follow Big D, the professional team will guide you to accurately target swing points, keep up with the rhythm and let your assets take off!
