Ibovespa reacts with a strong drop in the Brazil vs. USA clash.

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Closing Invest "July" (07/18/25)

The Ibovespa fell 1.77% and closed below 134 thousand points this Friday (133,364), pressured by political and economic instabilities. Tensions increased after the Supreme Court determined the use of an electronic ankle bracelet by Jair Bolsonaro, which reignited diplomatic frictions with the United States. Donald Trump, now president of the USA, defends Bolsonaro and threatened to impose tariffs on Brazilian products — a measure that could take effect as early as August.

This tension worries investors, who fear impacts on credit, investments, and jobs. The dollar surged 0.83%, closing at R$ 5.58, reflecting the market's defensive movement. Stocks of companies like Azul, Banco do Brasil, Bradesco, and B3 fell sharply. Only Vale managed to pull the index slightly up.

🇺🇸 In the USA, the scenario is different: Congress has approved two historic laws for the crypto market — the GENIUS Act, which regulates stablecoins, and the CLARITY Act, which defines how crypto assets will be treated (as securities or commodities). Trump is expected to sanction both soon. This brings legal security for investors and may accelerate the adoption of cryptos.

🚀 The impact was immediate: Ether (ETH) surged to US$ 3,675, the highest value in six months. Companies with large positions in ETH, such as BitMine and BTCS, rose by up to 14%. Bitcoin, even with a slight drop of 0.7%, remains above US$ 118 thousand, driven by the expectation of a Trump decree that will allow investments in crypto by 401(k) retirement funds, which total over US$ 43 trillion.

The crypto market is experiencing a true rally, exceeding US$ 4 trillion in total value. Regulation and institutional support reignite optimism in the sector.

🎯 Scenario summary:

* Ibovespa and dollar rise with Brazil-USA crisis;

* Trump pressures Bolsonaro and threatens the Brazilian economy;

* USA approves pro-crypto regulatory framework;

* Ether leads the rise with new legislation;

* Cryptocurrencies gain institutional strength with a possible Trump decree.

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