$TAKER - Mcap 6.32M$ - 64%/ 271 votes Bullish SC02 M1 firs | ScalpingX on Binance Square

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$TAKER  - Mcap 6.32M$ - 64%/ 271 votes Bullish
SC02 M1 first pending Short order, estimated stop-loss around 10.77%.

#MarketStrategy  #BearishOutlook 

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📊 MARKET INSIGHT: WINRATE, FGI & TAKE-PROFIT PSYCHOLOGY 📈 Daily winrate data from a trading community using R:R risk management reveals a clear relationship between market sentiment (measured via the Fear & Greed Index – FGI) and the likelihood of hitting take-profit (TP) targets. While all traders use a fixed stop-loss of 1R, their TP levels vary — some aim for 1R, others go for 3R, 5R, or even more. As a result, winrate doesn't reflect profitability but rather the probability of reaching TP, regardless of size. 📊 When market days are grouped by sentiment, the statistics show: 🔴 Extreme Fear: Average winrate 44.33% across 15 days 🟠 Fear: Average winrate 45.19% across 95 days ⚪ Neutral: Average winrate 44.57% across 61 days 🟢 Greed: Average winrate 44.62% across 150 days 🟢🟢 Extreme Greed: Average winrate 42.42% across 60 days 📌 The differences may appear small, but the trend is consistent: fear-driven markets tend to yield higher TP success rates, while euphoric markets produce the lowest. This shift isn’t purely due to market conditions — it’s also behavioral. 🚀 In high-FGI conditions, traders often extend their TP targets, convinced that prices will “keep flying.” Ironically, these are the moments when markets tend to stall, reverse, or fake out — leaving many trades unfinished. In contrast, during fear, TP targets are more conservative, and markets often offer clean technical reactions, improving the odds of a completed trade. 🧠 Statistically speaking, winrate doesn’t tell us who’s making the most money — but it does tell us how generous or stingy the market is with follow-through. When viewed through this lens, numbers reveal what sentiment often hides: the more traders expect, the less accurate they tend to become. #MarketPsychology #TradingStatistics #WinrateLogic

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Update as of 2025-07-18, based on community-wide trading data: ➤ The average win rate is 44.40% ➤ The highest daily win rate was on 2025-07-16, reaching 60.05%, while the lowest was on 2025-03-28 at 29.38% ➤ Friday recorded the highest average win rate across the week at 45.26%, while Monday had the lowest at 43.56% ➤ The best 7-day streak ended on 2025-04-27 with an average win rate of 52.18%, whereas the weakest streak ended on 2025-03-12 with 36.64% ➤ There were 180 days with a win rate above average, and 201 days below average ➤ 50 days had a win rate above 50%, 253 days ranged from 40% to 50%, and 78 days were below 40% #TradingStats #WinRateAnalysis #MarketInsight

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$BSW - Mcap 12.65M$ – 80% / 22.2K votes Bullish SC02 H4 active Short order, not yet in profit. Entry is within the LVN zone and unaffected by any weak zones. Stop-loss is set at 13.27%. The downtrend has lasted 121 cycles, with a drop range of 56.31%. #TrendFollowing #VolumeProfile

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$TAG - Mcap 60.34M$ – 85% / 468 votes Bullish SC02 M5 pending Long order, entry includes POC and is not affected by any weak zones. Estimated stop-loss is around 8.69%. The uptrend is currently in its 167th cycle, with a rise range of 43.00%. #MarketMomentum #EntryZoneAnalysis

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$EPIC - Mcap 78.96M$ – 87% / 15K votes Bullish SC02 M1 pending Long order, entry includes POC and is not affected by any weak zones. Estimated stop-loss is around 15.53%. The uptrend is currently in its 356th cycle, with a rise range of 109.26%. #TrendTracking #SetupAnalysis

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