Break cognitive biases, reshape trading logic
Leverage is a tool, position is a reins: A hundred-fold leverage is not scary; what’s scary is losing control of the position. Using 1% of funds with a hundred-fold leverage poses risks comparable to spot investment. Remember the key formula: Actual risk = Leverage × Position. A small position with high leverage can still operate steadily.
Stop loss is not admitting defeat; it's about survival: Holding onto losses beyond 5% is the main cause of liquidation! The iron rule of seasoned traders is: a single loss must never exceed 2% of the principal. A stop loss is like severing an arm to survive; preserving the principal allows for a comeback possibility.
Positioning must be steady, compound interest must be gradual: rolling positions are not a gamble but the correct way to compound interest. Use 10% of floating profits to cautiously add to positions (for example, the first position occupies 10%, and after profit, take a small part from the profits to add), which can both increase returns and maintain a safety margin. Steady progress is essential to go far.
Institution-level risk control techniques, strengthening the capital defense line
Calculate the position death line: Maximum position ≤ (Principal × 2%) ÷ (Stop loss amplitude × Leverage). For example, with a principal of 50,000, setting a 2% stop loss and using 10x leverage, the maximum position can only be 5,000 yuan—this is an absolute life line that must not be breached!
Three-stage profit-taking, securing profits: ① When profits reach 20%, recover 1/3 of the position; ② When profits reach 50%, recover another 1/3; ③ Set a trailing stop for the remaining position (for example, if it drops below the 5-day moving average). Let part of the profits continue to grow while some are secured in time for a more balanced attack and defense.
Hedging against black swans: while holding a position, buying Put options with 1% of the principal can insure against extreme market conditions.
The liquidation traps revealed by data must be approached with caution
Holding a position for more than 4 hours increases the risk of liquidation to 92%;
Operating over 500 times a month, fees and other losses will consume 24% of the principal;
Failing to take profits in a timely manner after gains will lead to an 83% profit drawdown.
The essence of trading: the game of probability and discipline
Profit expectation = (win rate × average profit) - (loss rate × average loss). As long as you strictly adhere to a 2% stop loss and aim for 20% profit, even a win rate of only 34% can achieve profitability. Top traders rely on strict stop losses (average loss ≤ 1.5%) and capturing trends (average profit 15%) to stand out in the end.
Survival rules that must be followed
Single loss ≤ 2% of principal;
Operate no more than 20 times a year;
Win-loss ratio ≥ 3:1;
Stay in cash 70% of the time and wait.
The essence of the market is a probability game. Smart people take a 2% risk to gain the benefits of trends. Those good at defense are like hiding in the unfathomable underground; those good at offense are like moving in the unattainable sky. Locking in losses will naturally lead to continuous profits. Building a mechanical trading system, letting discipline win over emotions, is the ultimate way to be invincible. Remember, wealth does not enter through urgent doors; slow is often faster.
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