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GM A big red envelope ✖️8000 🧧🧧🧧🧧#币安HODLer空投C #BTC走势分析
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BTC & ETH深度解析:政策东风下的双雄博弈 📈 价格动态:突破关键关口,市场情绪激昂 在历史性立法利好推动下,比特币(BTC)今日强势突破12万美元心理关口,最高触及120,160美元,创2025年新高!以太坊(ETH)紧随其后,突破3,400美元大关,刷新6个月高点。这一涨势直接反映了美国众议院通过《GENIUS法案》和《清晰法案》带来的监管确定性,市场对合规化的期待转化为真金白银的买单。 📊 技术面:多头控盘,但需警惕短期回调 - BTC:日线级别RSI从超卖区域反弹至55,MACD动能修复,布林带中轨上移至116,500美元,短期上行趋势确立。上方强阻力位123,300美元(前高),下方支撑位118,000美元(近期突破的强支撑)。链上数据显示,交易所净流出量连续8日超1.2万枚,74%流通代币锁仓超两年,供应紧缩特征显著。 - ETH:突破3,400美元后,RSI从超买回落至58,短期需震荡整固。上方阻力3,500美元,下方支撑3,300美元(趋势线支撑)。质押率飙升至29.01%,Lido市占率25.4%,生态活跃度为价格提供长期支撑。 🌐 基本面:政策红利与机构狂潮共振 1. 立法里程碑:美国《GENIUS法案》为稳定币确立联邦监管框架,《清晰法案》明确数字资产监管分工,彻底终结"监管灰色地带"。这直接刺激机构加速入场——贝莱德旗下比特币ETF持仓突破70万枚,价值超755亿美元,加拿大上市公司Super Copper更将20%储备配置比特币。 2. 技术升级驱动:以太坊Pectra升级后,Layer2交易成本下降51%,Base等二层网络活跃度激增,链上手续费收入重返榜首。Coinbase发布Base App整合社交与DeFi,进一步夯实ETH生态护城河。 3. 宏观叙事切换:特朗普推动401(K)退休基金投资加密货币,叠加美联储降息预期升温(9月概率超90%),资金正从传统市场向数字资产迁移。 #BTC走势分析 #ETH
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