July 18 Market Analysis!!!
Good afternoon, brothers.
Yesterday, we analyzed a core issue:
Will BTC break through $150,000, and will the altcoin season start?
Today, the market has exploded overall, and there is already a clear response.
In fact, this round of "mini bull market" started as early as last week. The rhythm of a bull market is usually like this:
It is born in despair, grows in doubt, matures in anticipation, and finally ends in madness.
This wave of market can be divided into four stages:
Stage One: The best entry opportunity is during extreme pessimism
For example, at the beginning of April, BTC fell below $80,000, and the market was in panic; we suggested buying the dip.
Stage Two: Rising, but the market is still hesitating
We are currently in this stage, and many people are still asking if the bull market has arrived; the market has already moved halfway.
Stage Three: Sentiment shifts to optimism, generally bullish
This is likely to occur in early August, close to the end of the short cycle.
Stage Four: The market suddenly crashes when it is frantically chasing gains
Expected in mid to late August, this could be a corrective adjustment or the end of the market; we still need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's policies.
Currently in Stage Two, the strategy is:
Focus on holding positions, maintain patience
Do not chase high short-term surging coins
You can continue to pay attention to BTC, BNB, SOL, DOT, KSM
Parti has not yet started; small position allocations can be made
Avoid heavy positions in a single altcoin; risk control is a priority.
