📅 Chart date: July 18, 2025
📈 Current capitalization: $3.88 trillion
🕐 Timeframe: 1H (the chart shows 1-week candles)
📊 Indicators:
EMA 20 / 50 / 100 / 200:
EMA20: 3.22T
EMA50: 2.97T
EMA100: 2.49T
EMA200: 1.99T
RSI (14): 69.61 — approaching the overbought zone, but not critical yet.
Volume: 390.28B — high, confirming growth.
🔶 Fibonacci Levels (on the rise):
Built on the local wave:
0.0: 3.5T
0.27: 3.68T
0.618: 3.91T ← the current price has already broken the zone between 0.5 and 0.618
1.0: 4.16T
Levels used for the drop from the previous high:
0.5 – 3.17T
0.618 – 3.1T
0.786 – 2.98T
1 – 2.85T
📏 Liquidity Levels (demand/supply area):
Value Area High (VAH): ~3.49T
POC (point of control): 3.26T
Value Area Low (VAL): 2.97T
🔸 The current price is above VAH, indicating potential overheating.
📈 Current structure:
Consolidation around 3.5T has been broken.
The breakout is accompanied by strong volume and support from EMA50/100.
Formation of a logarithmic structure (logarithmic growth scenario), with a clear realization of all Fibonacci levels, may indicate the beginning of a new growth phase.
📌 Answer to your question: What does the realization of the logarithmic scenario mean in this context?
The logarithmic scenario is a logarithmic upward trend where price growth slows down but continues exponentially on larger timeframes.
In this context, the realization of the logarithmic scenario means:
Confirmation of the phase change from consolidation to growth.
Sustainable upward trend with periodic pullbacks to levels 0.27 / 0.5 / 0.618 Fibonacci, but without a crash below EMA50.
Growth of cryptocurrency market capitalization → influx of liquidity → growth in ETH and other majors.
💡 What does this mean for Ethereum:
ETH is one of the key assets in total capitalization (second largest).
The growth of total capitalization is a leading indicator for the growth of ETH.
With the current ETH structure, there is a high probability that:
Will overcome the nearest resistances.
Will continue to move towards key levels of $4000–4200 (according to the current market structure).
Confirmation of the logarithmic scenario on total capitalization = bullish signal for #ETH .
🔚 Conclusion:
✔️ Yes, the realization of the logarithmic scenario will mean an increase in the price of Ether.
📈 As long as the price is held above EMA20–50 and the level of 3.5T, the market is in a bullish phase.
📊 RSI is not critical yet, volumes are rising — which means the growth potential is not exhausted.
