#SoftStaking
【NXPC Sudden】“Value Return” Countdown? POC 1.00 as the Last Defense, Miss It and Wait a Year!
Overview: NXPC current price 1.027, closely above POC 1.00, oscillating within the 70% value zone 0.898-1.06; short-term bearish dominance but buying pressure lurking nearby, long if it retraces to the 1.00-1.01 low volume gap, stop loss below 0.995, target 1.046-1.05, risk-reward ratio 2.5:1. Risk: 7-day contract OI suddenly dropped 17%, if it breaks below 0.995 with high volume, it will trigger a long squeeze.
Key Interval Structure
• Value Anchor: POC=1.002, traded 1.38M, Up Vol 69%, buying pressure dominating.
• HVN Buffer: 1.019/1.026/1.033, all three have >10M volume, short-term pullback resistance.
• LVN Gap: 1.101-1.114 (only 342k traded), upper vacuum, accelerating channel after breaking 1.05.
• 70% Value Zone: 0.898-1.061, current price slightly above the midpoint, not overbought.
Momentum Verification
• 1h Cycle: Up Vol 69% >60%, short-term bulls still control the market.
• Contract OI 7-day -17%, net capital outflow 3.33M, major funds retreating, beware of false breakouts.
Bollinger Bands + MA
• Middle Line 1.02, current price ≈ middle line; upper line 1.038, lower line 1.001.
• MA200 0.995, distance to current price +3.2%, a retracement is the last entry point for bulls.
Trading Strategy
Aggressive: 1.001-1.005 LVN retracement long, stop loss 0.995 (-0.8%), target 1.046 (+4.5%), risk-reward ratio 2.5:1.
Conservative: Wait for confirmation of double support at 1.00 integer + POC, intervene when K-line shows lower shadow or volume expands.
Cautious: Go long after breaking 1.033 HVN with a retracement, stop loss 1.025, target 1.05-1.06.
Risk Warning
1. If the 1h closing price falls below 0.995, the bullish structure fails, reverse to short down to 0.967.
2. Contract funding rate 0.00005 is relatively low, short covering could trigger volatility at any time.
3. Large spot selling pressure zone 2.45-2.62, if unusual movement occurs, must enter and exit quickly.
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