This would mean an increase of about 24% from the current price (around $3.15). To support this price increase, there must be a clear and reasonable 'upward logic'. Here is a possible logical framework behind this prediction:
📈 Logical analysis of XRP rising to $3.9 by the end of August
1. Technical breakout: bullish structure formation
Key resistance level breakout: XRP has recently broken through the important resistance level of $3.0. If it firmly stays above $3.3, it will form a bullish acceleration structure, technically likely to hit $3.9.
High trading volume accompanying price increase: price increases with volume indicate a genuine breakout rather than a false rally, supporting XRP's strong rise.
RSI is slightly strong but not overbought: the Relative Strength Index still has upward space, technically allowing for further rises.
2. Market situation: capital rotation + emotional fermentation
Bitcoin is fluctuating at high levels, with capital flowing to altcoins: BTC's price is in a high range (e.g., $115,000–125,000), with some institutions and large investors shifting funds to XRP, SOL, ADA, and other mainstream altcoins.
ETF sentiment diffusion effect: ETH ETF drives the market to reassess other projects, with XRP as the 'leader in payment and cross-border settlement' attracting attention again.
Retail investors and the community are becoming active again: discussions about XRP are gaining traction on social platforms like Xiaohongshu, Toutiao, Twitter, and Reddit.
3. Favorable macro policies and regulations
The US SEC case is nearing its end, and the likelihood of XRP being viewed as 'non-security' is increasing, restoring investor confidence.
Ripple is frequently collaborating with multiple central banks and financial institutions: for instance, engaging in stablecoin or CBDC-related pilot projects with certain central banks in the Middle East, South America, and Asia, enhancing fundamental value.
The US dollar may weaken, and the macro market may shift, making crypto assets a safe haven for capital inflow.
4. On-chain data support
Whale addresses accumulation: on-chain data shows that the number of wallets holding over 1M XRP is steadily increasing.
Increased on-chain activity: the number of XRP network transactions and wallet activity are rising, indicating ecological recovery.
Increased cross-border transfer usage: around the SWELL conference, Ripple announced new major clients or market expansion, which will stimulate usage rates.
5. Historical comparisons and cyclical rhythm
2021 comparison: XRP rose from $0.55 to $1.96 in a short period in 2021, an increase of over 250%, indicating its strong upward explosive power.
2025 is the main upward phase of the cycle: the crypto market is in the mid-stage of a bull market from 2024 to 2026, and XRP has a strong rebound logic.
✅ Summary logical framework
Driving factors: supporting viewpoints
Technical analysis: after breaking $3.3, a bullish structure is formed, with the potential to hit $3.9
Market structure: BTC/ETH are flat, capital is rotating to XRP
Regulatory/policy benefits: progress in SEC cases, Ripple's international cooperation, and increased participation in stablecoins
On-chain indicators support: whale accumulation, increase in active addresses, and higher network usage frequency
Bull market cycle: in the mid-stage of a bull market (main upward wave), XRP has a high possibility of rotating and exploding.
