Bitcoin Surges Above $107K as Exchange Supply Hits Three-Year Low and Float Shrinks

  • CryptoCon confirms Bitcoin's cycle is unchanged, with price echo highs expected between August and September 2025.

  • Despite early bull market weakness, the Halving Cycles Theory continues to align with previous Bitcoin cycle movements.

  • Market optimism for extended gains into 2026 dismissed, with main cycle top projected between October and December 2025.


The traditional Bitcoin 4-year cycle remains intact, even as early bull market price action presents unusual patterns in 2025.

Halving Cycles Theory Remains on Track

Crypto analyst CryptoCon shared that despite sideways trends and a subdued market start, Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle remains undisturbed. The post noted two constants in Bitcoin’s journey: the continuation of its 4-year cycle and repeated public skepticism about its relevance.

https://twitter.com/CryptoCon_/status/1945524094348247208

In this cycle, the initial bull market year has seen unexpected stagnation, yet that has not shifted the framework supported by the Halving Cycles Theory. Bitcoin is still following historical patterns that have persisted across several past cycles, with no confirmed deviation thus far.

Bull Market Peaks Forecasted for Late 2025

CryptoCon projects that the main cycle top for Bitcoin will likely occur between October and December 2025. Additionally, an earlier top echo high is expected during August to September of the same year. These predictions align closely with previous cycle behaviors, where the peak tends to follow Bitcoin’s halving event by about 18 months.

Despite rising involvement from institutional investors and the launch of ETFs, CryptoCon emphasized that such elements are not expected to redefine the cycle’s established rhythm. The notion that institutional demand will continuously push Bitcoin to record highs into 2026 is dismissed as recurring speculation that appears during each bull run.

The Cycle Continues, Regardless of Market Optimism

CryptoCon made it clear that optimism about a prolonged bull run extending into 2026—referred to as the “Orange Year” or a typical bear market phase—is misplaced. According to the tweet, the market’s adherence to cyclical norms remains consistent, regardless of surrounding hype or external narratives.

The tweet acts as a reminder that Bitcoin's longer cycle remains even if the market hesitates or the calls for a structural change are loud. The cycle continues to provide a reasonable structure for expected, providing a level guidance for traders and investors in a time of changing conditions.

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