#AltcoinSeasonLoading #IfYouAreNewToBinance #LaunchTime
š First-day performance: the āBinance Effectā
Average rise ~āÆ41āÆ%: According to Ren & Heinrich, tokens listed on Binance experience a median ~+41āÆ% gain within 24 hours, followed by around +73āÆ% over 30 days.
Wild outliers: Some listings exploded far beyond the norm:
ACT soared ~2,100āÆ% on day one, briefly reaching up to +4,500āÆ%
PNUT gained +255āÆ%, peaking at +2,118āÆ% .
Even non-meme tokens like THE saw +197āÆ% in a single day .
š Typical first-day cycle
Surge: Massive pump driven by liquidity influx and hype.
Whiplash: Sharp volatility spikesā20ā30āÆ% intraday moves are common Binance.
Retracement: Profit-taking often triggers corrections within minutes to hours.
Stabilization phase: Price may hover above or dip below original levels.
ā ļø Risks and sustainability
While over 60āÆ% of new listings hit ATHs on day one, most undergo pullbacks soon after ChainCatcher.
Nearly all tokens experience sharp drops in the first weekāon average, around ā6.3āÆ% as speculators cash out .
Longer term, many tokens fade:
By six months post-listing, the average return is a modest +8āÆ%, and many underperform broader market benchmarks like Ether.
Numerous coins (particularly meme-heavy) eventually lose 30ā80āÆ% from initial pumps .
š Why this happens
Binance listings unlock immense liquidity, visibility, and access to millionsāleading to instant buying surges Co-founder Yi He noted Binance uses listing criteria including:
ROI on first day and performance on other exchanges
Innovation and capability to attract users
Popularity (āhypeā) to maintain Binance market share
But that also means projects with big momentumāespecially meme tokensācan surge rapidly and also crash rapidly.
š Summary of first-day patterns on Binance
Metric Typical Range/Observation
Median gain day āÆ1~+41āÆ%
Top outliers +200āÆ% to +2,000āÆ%
Intraday volatility 20ā30āÆ% swings common
1-week trend ā6āÆ% average retracement
6-month average return +8āÆ%, many underperform
ā
Key takeaways
Fast gains, fast risks: First-day rallies are real, but so are whiplash corrections.
Not for the faint-hearted: Only trade if you're prepared for extreme volatility and possible sharp losses
Pre- and post-listing strategy: Some traders buy early or immediately after listing to capture the surgeābut having exit strategies is crucial.
š§ Final note
The āfirst-day Binance pumpā is realābut far from guaranteed. While coins can soar +200āÆ% to +2,000āÆ% in hours, they often dip sharply before stabilizing or fading. On average, expect +41āÆ% day one, with strong volatility and uncertain medium-term outlook. Position size wisely, set clear exits, and treat any gains as potentially fleeting.