The core logic of trading is to dance with the trend
The essence of the trend is the inertia of market sentiment; it will not change due to individual will. The 'top' in an uptrend is always marked after the fact, and the 'bottom' in a downtrend is equally difficult to predict — attempting to intercept the market against the trend is like trying to stop a torrent with bare hands.
True trading wisdom lies in: when the market is rising, a pullback is a buying opportunity; when it is falling, a rebound is a selling opportunity. The success rate of counter-trend operations is even worse than tossing a coin; instead of fighting against the trend, it is better to learn to take advantage of it. The ultimate goal of trading is not to get rich overnight, but to accumulate wealth through compound interest, steadily expand in the trend, and turn around promptly at turning points.
When an uptrend repeatedly tests resistance without success and breaks key support, shorting during a rebound requires a good stop-loss; when a downtrend repeatedly solidifies support and breaks resistance levels, longing during a pullback must also strictly control risk. The current market is in a blurry zone, the trend is unclear, and ultra-short lines dance on the knife's edge — under heavy positions and high leverage, even slight misjudgments can lead to irreparable losses.
Remember, the inertia of the trend is far stronger than your predictions. Blindly taking action in the fog often becomes a sacrifice for both bulls and bears. If you must gamble, always leave room for retreat — the market does not show mercy to fools, only rewarding those who understand 'go with the flow, keep it simple, and wait for the wind to come' wise ones.
Follow @Crypto余辉 for in-depth market analysis, grasp key points, and seek certainty amid volatility