📈 1. Short-term developments (within a few days to 2 weeks ahead)
Currently, ETH is trading around $3,424, with daily fluctuations between approximately $3,162 and $3,476.
Technical analyses from Coin Edition (citing data up to July 18, 2025) show:
Strong resistance at ~$3,525 (Fibonacci 0.786), if broken could lead to new targets like $3,715 and $4,107.
Support at $3,307 and $3,107 — below this could trigger a profit-taking sell-off, but the trend remains intact if the $3,307 area holds.
Short-term forecast from Coindcx: in the next 3–5 days, ETH is likely to rise another 5–8%, reaching the $3,600–$3,700 range, if it holds above the $3,400 support.
🧭 2. Mid-term technical strategy (few weeks to end of the month)
ETH is holding important MA lines (20, 50, 100, 200 days) and RSI ~61, indicating a sustainable uptrend if it does not break key support areas around $3,000–$3,350.
Weekly and hourly charts (according to MarketPulse/OANDA & SeekingAlpha) reflect:
The ETH/BTC ratio has broken out and the potential to confirm a new trend, paving the way for targets of $3,400–$3,450.
Technical factors supporting are models & indicators (upward channel, bullish MACD…), but there are signs of overbought in the short term, which may create fluctuations or light corrections.
🏦 3. Fundamental factors & institutional cash flow
Words from JP Morgan, Galaxy Digital, BlackRock: the cash flow from the ETH ETF remains strong, with approximately $717 million attracted on July 16 alone, including $489 million into BlackRock’s ETHA fund.
Many independent mining companies (BitMine, Bit Digital…) are shifting to staking ETH, helping to reduce circulating supply and support the price.
Improvements like Pectra (Prague-Electra) – upgrade and integration of smart contracts right in the wallet – help reduce fees and boost the Layer-2 ecosystem.
🌕 4. Long-term outlook (end of 2025 – 2026)
Analyses from Finder, Token Metrics, Changelly, Forbes predict:
Finder: ETH could reach $4,308 by the end of 2025 (average low), fluctuating between $1,940–$4,746.
Token Metrics: believes ETH could hit targets of $5,000–$10,000 by the end of 2025, especially if upgrades like Pectra are effective and ETF cash flow continues to pour in.
Changelly: more optimistic, predicting an average for 2025 of ~$6,124, with highs up to ~$7,194.
Forbes notes high volatility margins, ranging from $2,500 to $6,000 depending on macro factors.
⚠️ 5. Potential risks
If key support areas drop below $3,100 or $3,000, ETH could fall to $2,700–$2,800.
The inflation situation, FED policy, or global macro shocks remain unpredictable factors and could reverse the trend (as reflected on Coinmagates: price rebounded from ~$2,646 in early July thanks to positive inflation data).
✅ Conclusion
Short-term (few days): Bright increase with targets of $3,500–$3,700 if the $3,307 support holds. Strong resistance around $3,525.
Medium-term (few weeks – by the end of the month): High probability for a scenario increasing to $3,700–$4,000 if breaking above $3,400, ETF cash flow remains stable.
Long-term (end of 2025 – 2026): ETH could rise to $4,500–$6,000, and in a strong bull scenario could reach $8,000–$10,000 if fundamental and technical factors are favorable.
🧠 Suggested strategies for investors
Take partial profits when ETH approaches $3,700–$4,000.
Set buy limits in support areas of $3,300–$3,100, and if it corrects further, around $2,800.
Closely monitor news about ETFs, upgrades like Pectra, and macroeconomic developments, especially FED policy.
If you are interested in a more detailed technical model, comparing with other altcoins, or want specific strategy advice, feel free to ask!