📈 1. Short-term developments (within a few days to 2 weeks ahead)





  • Currently, ETH is trading around $3,424, with daily fluctuations between approximately $3,162 and $3,476.


  • Technical analyses from Coin Edition (citing data up to July 18, 2025) show:



    • Strong resistance at ~$3,525 (Fibonacci 0.786), if broken could lead to new targets like $3,715 and $4,107.


    • Support at $3,307 and $3,107 — below this could trigger a profit-taking sell-off, but the trend remains intact if the $3,307 area holds.



  • Short-term forecast from Coindcx: in the next 3–5 days, ETH is likely to rise another 5–8%, reaching the $3,600–$3,700 range, if it holds above the $3,400 support.







🧭 2. Mid-term technical strategy (few weeks to end of the month)





  • ETH is holding important MA lines (20, 50, 100, 200 days) and RSI ~61, indicating a sustainable uptrend if it does not break key support areas around $3,000–$3,350.


  • Weekly and hourly charts (according to MarketPulse/OANDA & SeekingAlpha) reflect:



    • The ETH/BTC ratio has broken out and the potential to confirm a new trend, paving the way for targets of $3,400–$3,450.


    • Technical factors supporting are models & indicators (upward channel, bullish MACD…), but there are signs of overbought in the short term, which may create fluctuations or light corrections.








🏦 3. Fundamental factors & institutional cash flow





  • Words from JP Morgan, Galaxy Digital, BlackRock: the cash flow from the ETH ETF remains strong, with approximately $717 million attracted on July 16 alone, including $489 million into BlackRock’s ETHA fund.


  • Many independent mining companies (BitMine, Bit Digital…) are shifting to staking ETH, helping to reduce circulating supply and support the price.


  • Improvements like Pectra (Prague-Electra) – upgrade and integration of smart contracts right in the wallet – help reduce fees and boost the Layer-2 ecosystem.







🌕 4. Long-term outlook (end of 2025 – 2026)





  • Analyses from Finder, Token Metrics, Changelly, Forbes predict:



    • Finder: ETH could reach $4,308 by the end of 2025 (average low), fluctuating between $1,940–$4,746.


    • Token Metrics: believes ETH could hit targets of $5,000–$10,000 by the end of 2025, especially if upgrades like Pectra are effective and ETF cash flow continues to pour in.


    • Changelly: more optimistic, predicting an average for 2025 of ~$6,124, with highs up to ~$7,194.


    • Forbes notes high volatility margins, ranging from $2,500 to $6,000 depending on macro factors.








⚠️ 5. Potential risks





  • If key support areas drop below $3,100 or $3,000, ETH could fall to $2,700–$2,800.


  • The inflation situation, FED policy, or global macro shocks remain unpredictable factors and could reverse the trend (as reflected on Coinmagates: price rebounded from ~$2,646 in early July thanks to positive inflation data).







✅ Conclusion





  1. Short-term (few days): Bright increase with targets of $3,500–$3,700 if the $3,307 support holds. Strong resistance around $3,525.


  2. Medium-term (few weeks – by the end of the month): High probability for a scenario increasing to $3,700–$4,000 if breaking above $3,400, ETF cash flow remains stable.


  3. Long-term (end of 2025 – 2026): ETH could rise to $4,500–$6,000, and in a strong bull scenario could reach $8,000–$10,000 if fundamental and technical factors are favorable.







🧠 Suggested strategies for investors





  • Take partial profits when ETH approaches $3,700–$4,000.


  • Set buy limits in support areas of $3,300–$3,100, and if it corrects further, around $2,800.


  • Closely monitor news about ETFs, upgrades like Pectra, and macroeconomic developments, especially FED policy.






If you are interested in a more detailed technical model, comparing with other altcoins, or want specific strategy advice, feel free to ask!


$ETH