【FOMO Alert】BID Daily Surge of 27%, Retail Investors Still on the Sideline? The Big Players Have Quietly Laid Down a "Value Trap"!

Summary in One Sentence: BID has increased by 27% in 24 hours, with the price standing at 0.143, just 5% away from the upper Bollinger band at 0.151. Trading volume has expanded by 1.9 times, contract positions are up by 15.8%, but there is a net outflow of 7.45M. In the short term, there may be a pullback to the high volume area of 0.136-0.138, with a risk-reward ratio for chasing higher prices at only 1.6, so be cautious of false breakouts at high levels.

Key Interval Structure

1. Value Anchor: POC 0.1098 (maximum trading volume in two weeks), with the upper range of 0.136-0.140 as the bullish accumulation area, and the lower range of 0.100-0.103 as the LVN gap.

2. High Volume Buffer: HVN 0.1363, 0.1372 (Up Vol 61-66%), if the pullback does not break this level, it can be seen as a bullish defense line.

3. Low Volume Void: LVN 0.1603-0.1637, 0.1653-0.1694, easy to accelerate after a breakout, but current volume is declining, making false breakout probability high.

4. 70% Trading Zone: 0.1065-0.1554, the current price is close to the upper limit, indicating short-term overbought conditions.

Momentum Validation

• Above POC, Up Vol is 51.5%, with a balance between bulls and bears; HVN 0.1363 Up Vol is 61.8%, slightly favoring the bulls.

• 4h-24h contract positions continue to decrease (-7.45M), but prices are at new highs, indicating a divergence between volume and price.

Cycle Judgment

The mid-term is still in an upward wave, while the short-term is entering the final acceleration phase, which may trigger a pullback to POC for "value return" at any time.

Trading Strategy

Aggressive: Buy on a pullback to 0.1372±0.0005 HVN, stop loss at 0.1351 (below HVN), target at 0.1508 (upper Bollinger band), risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.0.

Conservative: Wait for a quick recovery Pin Bar after a drop below 0.1363, stop loss at 0.1345, target at 0.1440-0.1500, risk-reward ratio ≈ 1.9.

Cautious: If there is a volume breakout above 0.151 and stabilizes above LVN 0.152, buy lightly on a pullback to 0.1508, stop loss at 0.1485, target at 0.1603, risk-reward ratio ≈ 1.6.

Risk Warning

• Divergence between contract positions and price indicates a high risk of forced selling.

• A failure to break 0.151 will form a double top; stop loss must be strictly enforced.

• Large liquidity gaps may lead to slippage exceeding expectations; individual positions ≤ 1% of total capital.

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